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← Belmont ParkSaturday 4 July 2026

Belmont Park R3

15:54Quayclean (Bm66+)
1000mBenchMark 66+Rail: +5mEarly preview · published 3 July 14:12 AEST — updated race morning
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Early mail — tomorrow's fields. Fields, barriers and stats published early (3 July 14:12 AEST). Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.
Early model rankings — previewearly predictions · not final
Early model predictions only. These WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updates — the final day's predictions and commentary are published race morning.
Early model — previewEarly predictions — these WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updatesEntropy3.09top 3
Ranked 1st
10. Under Influence
Natasha Faithfull (4)
Ranked 2nd
2. Keep Ita Mystery
William Pike (2)
Ranked 3rd
7. Watto's Mark
Brad Parnham (5)
Predicted speed mapback → finish →
Backmarkers1
settle 11+
6 Shmoov Moova(6)
Midfield3
settle 7–10
2 Keep Ita Mystery(2)
10 Under Influence(4)
1 Kay Tee Why(8)
On-pace3
settle 3–6
3 Baby Pearl(1)
8 Lucky I Am(3)
7 Watto's Mark(5)
Leaders3
pushing for the lead
5 Pin Deep(7)
9 King Brew(9)
4 Lord Shiva(10)

Historical overview

Across the 73 sampled runnings of 1000m at Belmont Park: On-pace (settle 4–6) — 33 of 73 winners (45.2% of winners, 15.4% strike, 1.01 A/E). No winner in this sample settled 11+ back. From the gates, Inside (1–4) — 40 of 73 winners (54.8% of winners, 13.7% strike, 0.86 A/E).

Narrowed to today's rail position (1000m · +5m ±1m, 8 races): On-pace (settle 4–6) — 4 of 8 winners (50.0% of winners, 17.4% strike, 1.22 A/E).

Market history at this trip: odds-on favourites are 13 from 20 (65.0% strike, 1.09 A/E); roughies (>$10) supply 9.6% of winners.

Historical leans

  • On-pace (settle 4–6) is the strongest settle band on the sample
  • Inside (1–4) barriers lead the draw splits
  • Short-priced runners have historically held their market at this trip

Deterministic data read — figures restated from this track and trip's sampled runnings, no interpretation applied. The full speed-map read and model picks follow race morning after final scratchings.

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Full speed-map read and model picks arrive race morning, once final scratchings and track condition are known.

Distance stats

Distance
1000m · 73 races (73 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)2924054.8%13.7%0.86
Middle (5–9)2943142.5%10.5%0.82
Wide (10+)4622.7%4.3%0.59

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)2192534.2%11.4%0.66
On-pace (4–6)2143345.2%15.4%1.01
Midfield (7–10)1771520.5%8.5%0.91
Backmarkers (11+)2100%0%0.00
Unknown100%0%—

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)201317.8%65%1.09
Pop ($2–5)1353750.7%27.4%0.89
Mid ($5–10)1541621.9%10.4%0.78
Roughie (>$10)32279.6%2.2%0.52