Belmont Park R4

16:35Bisley Workwear (Rs1mw)
1600mRest 1 Metro WinRail: +5mEarly preview · published 3 July 14:12 AEST — updated race morning
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Early mail — tomorrow's fields. Fields, barriers and stats published early (3 July 14:12 AEST). Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.
Early model rankings — previewearly predictions · not final
Early model predictions only. These WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updates — the final day's predictions and commentary are published race morning.
Early model — previewEarly predictions — these WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updatesEntropy2.94top 3
Ranked 1st
1. Territory Man
William Pike (2)
Ranked 2nd
7. With Discretion
Cassey Martinan (15)
Ranked 3rd
13. God's Grin
Holly Nottle (6)
Predicted speed mapback → finish →
Backmarkers3
settle 11+
6 Old Mate Henry(4)
5 Premium Girl(7)
12 Two Time Charlie(9)
Midfield10
settle 7–10
10 Prince Epaulette(1)
1 Territory Man(2)
8 Cruise To Rio(3)
15 Random Rewards(5)
11 Forever Dreaming(8)
14 I'm Nipote(10)
3 Decision Maker(11)
2 Thehorseman(12)
4 Gold Maker(14)
7 With Discretion(15)
On-pace2
settle 3–6
13 God's Grin(6)
9 Glanced(13)
Leaders0
pushing for the lead

Historical overview

Across the 25 sampled runnings of 1600m at Belmont Park: On-pace (settle 4–6) — 10 of 25 winners (40.0% of winners, 13.3% strike, 1.17 A/E). From the gates, Inside (1–4) — 11 of 25 winners (44.0% of winners, 11.1% strike, 0.93 A/E).

Today's going is not yet confirmed, so no going-specific split is shown — the broad sample above carries the read until race morning.

Market history at this trip: odds-on favourites are 5 from 6 (83.3% strike, 1.5 A/E); roughies (>$10) supply 12.0% of winners.

Historical leans

  • On-pace (settle 4–6) is the strongest settle band on the sample
  • Inside (1–4) barriers lead the draw splits
  • Short-priced runners have historically held their market at this trip

Deterministic data read — figures restated from this track and trip's sampled runnings, no interpretation applied. The full speed-map read and model picks follow race morning after final scratchings.

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Full speed-map read and model picks arrive race morning, once final scratchings and track condition are known.

Distance stats

Distance
1600m · 25 races (25 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)991144%11.1%0.93
Middle (5–9)1201040%8.3%0.77
Wide (10+)74416%5.4%0.71

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)75936%12%0.92
On-pace (4–6)751040%13.3%1.17
Midfield (7–10)89416%4.5%0.49
Backmarkers (11+)5428%3.7%0.51

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)6520%83.3%1.50
Pop ($2–5)381352%34.2%1.22
Mid ($5–10)67416%6%0.43
Roughie (>$10)182312%1.6%0.42