Saturday 4 July 2026NSWEarly preview · published 3 July 14:10 AEST — updated race morning

Rosehill

TurfRail: 1m11:0516:30
Early mail — tomorrow's fields. Fields, barriers and stats published early (3 July 14:10 AEST). Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

Meeting overview

Rosehill in NSW hosts a metro meeting on Turf. The rail is 1m. There are 10 races scheduled from 11:05 to 16:30.

The card

Distances run from 1,100m to 2,000m across the card. The class mix is 7 benchmark races and 3 other races. The card leans toward sprint trips. The feature race of the day is Schweppes Winter Stakes.

What history says

Over 264 races from 2025-05-31 to 2026-06-27, settling position flags backmarkers (11+) as the clearest profile, underperforming market expectation (0.61 A/E, 3.5% strike rate).

Jockey Adam Hyeronimus has 9 runners and a 15.6% local strike rate from 90 runs (1.28 A/E) and Jockey Reece Jones has 8 runners and a 10.3% local strike rate from 78 runs (1.33 A/E).

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Track profile: Rosehill

264 races · 2709 runners · since 2025-05-31

Today’s angles — 2+ runners here today & A/E > 1

JAdam Farragher2 todayA/E 1.39JReece Jones8 todayA/E 1.33TMatthew Smith3 todayA/E 1.31JAdam Hyeronimus9 todayA/E 1.28JAaron Bullock2 todayA/E 1.25JTom Sherry7 todayA/E 1.11JSiena Grima10 todayA/E 1.11JMollie Fitzgerald7 todayA/E 1.10TBjorn Baker5 todayA/E 1.08TJoseph Pride6 todayA/E 1.07TAnnabel & Rob Archibald9 todayA/E 1.05TMichael Freedman2 todayA/E 1.03JWinona Costin6 todayA/E 1.02

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)99211945.1%12%0.88
Middle (5–9)110010339%9.4%0.80
Wide (10+)6174215.9%6.8%0.84

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)78812748.1%16.1%1.10
On-pace (4–6)7807327.7%9.4%0.71
Midfield (7–10)7885119.3%6.5%0.69
Backmarkers (11+)343124.5%3.5%0.61
Unknown1010.4%10%0.67

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)33155.7%45.5%0.80
Pop ($2–5)50212547.3%24.9%0.89
Mid ($5–10)6487126.9%11%0.81
Roughie (>$10)15265320.1%3.5%0.80

A/E = actual wins ÷ market-expected wins (Σ 1/SP). Above 1.0 (green) beats the market here; below 0.9 (red) lags. Strong bias day = a past meeting where one run-style won >65% of races (≥5 winners). “Today” = runners engaged here today.