HoofMetricsdata · model · edge
← RosehillSaturday 4 July 2026

Rosehill R2

11:40TAB Highway Hcp (C3)
1200mClass 3Rail: 1mEarly preview · published 3 July 14:12 AEST — updated race morning
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Early mail — tomorrow's fields. Fields, barriers and stats published early (3 July 14:12 AEST). Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.
Early model rankings — previewearly predictions · not final
Early model predictions only. These WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updates — the final day's predictions and commentary are published race morning.
Early model — previewEarly predictions — these WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updatesEntropy3.75top 3
Ranked 1st
22. She Within
Adam Hyeronimus (4)
Ranked 2nd
8. Calypso Rocket
Aaron Bullock (1)
Ranked 3rd
16. Kendalia
Tim Clark (14)
Predicted speed mapback → finish →
Backmarkers3
settle 11+
8 Calypso Rocket(1)
22 She Within(4)
16 Kendalia(14)
Midfield10
settle 7–10
9 Martini Mumma(3)
20 Extrio(5)
17 Zahdi(6)
18 Rollo(7)
12 Nirmata(12)
11 Jenni The Jet(13)
15 Dubbo Boy(13)
4 Nimble Star(15)
1 Kreon(17)
10 King Of Dragons(18)
On-pace3
settle 3–6
3 It's A Tata(2)
19 La Mer Bleue(8)
14 Polymer(9)
Leaders3
pushing for the lead
21 Sir Lunchalots(10)
2 Neeson(11)
13 Indi Springs(16)

Historical overview

Across the 44 sampled runnings of 1200m at Rosehill: Leaders (settle 1–3) — 24 of 44 winners (54.5% of winners, 18.8% strike, 1.23 A/E). From the gates, Middle (5–9) — 19 of 44 winners (43.2% of winners, 10.5% strike, 0.84 A/E).

Today's going is not yet confirmed, so no going-specific split is shown — the broad sample above carries the read until race morning.

Market history at this trip: odds-on favourites are 1 from 7 (14.3% strike, 0.26 A/E); roughies (>$10) supply 31.8% of winners.

Historical leans

  • Leaders (settle 1–3) is the strongest settle band on the sample
  • Middle (5–9) barriers lead the draw splits

Deterministic data read — figures restated from this track and trip's sampled runnings, no interpretation applied. The full speed-map read and model picks follow race morning after final scratchings.

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Full speed-map read and model picks arrive race morning, once final scratchings and track condition are known.

Distance stats

Distance
1200m · 44 races (44 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)1611636.4%9.9%0.79
Middle (5–9)1811943.2%10.5%0.84
Wide (10+)114920.5%7.9%0.96

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)1282454.5%18.8%1.23
On-pace (4–6)128818.2%6.2%0.50
Midfield (7–10)125920.5%7.2%0.75
Backmarkers (11+)6724.5%3%0.54
Unknown812.3%12.5%0.83

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)712.3%14.3%0.26
Pop ($2–5)832147.7%25.3%0.94
Mid ($5–10)109818.2%7.3%0.55
Roughie (>$10)2571431.8%5.4%1.24