HoofMetricsdata · model · edge
← RosehillSaturday 4 July 2026

Rosehill R7

14:35TAB (Bm78)
2000mBenchmark 78Rail: 1mEarly preview · published 3 July 14:12 AEST — updated race morning
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Early mail — tomorrow's fields. Fields, barriers and stats published early (3 July 14:12 AEST). Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.
Early model rankings — previewearly predictions · not final
Early model predictions only. These WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updates — the final day's predictions and commentary are published race morning.
Early model — previewEarly predictions — these WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updatesEntropy3.65top 3
Ranked 1st
5. Mo Chroi
Tim Clark (13)
Ranked 2nd
13. Engine Of War
Anna Roper (5)
Ranked 3rd
6. Shangri La Impact
Adam Hyeronimus (16)
Predicted speed mapback → finish →
Backmarkers4
settle 11+
16 Fay's Angels(1)
14 I Park(3)
13 Engine Of War(5)
4 Anythink Goes(7)
Midfield10
settle 7–10
15 Laspirit Deeler(4)
1 Lincoln Rocks(6)
3 Golden Century(8)
9 Black Babylon(9)
17 Le Troisir(10)
12 Nasebah(14)
20 Velaris(15)
7 Sting In The Tail(18)
8 Kapakiri(19)
19 Fioprospero(20)
On-pace3
settle 3–6
2 Stylebender(2)
6 Shangri La Impact(16)
18 Hammoon Heroine(17)
Leaders3
pushing for the lead
11 Lennox(11)
10 Cormac T(12)
5 Mo Chroi(13)

Historical overview

Across the 23 sampled runnings of 2000m at Rosehill: Leaders (settle 1–3) — 10 of 23 winners (43.5% of winners, 14.5% strike, 0.93 A/E). From the gates, Inside (1–4) — 12 of 23 winners (52.2% of winners, 13.6% strike, 0.88 A/E).

Today's going is not yet confirmed, so no going-specific split is shown — the broad sample above carries the read until race morning.

Market history at this trip: odds-on favourites are 2 from 3 (66.7% strike, 1.14 A/E); roughies (>$10) supply 17.4% of winners.

Historical leans

  • Leaders (settle 1–3) is the strongest settle band on the sample
  • Inside (1–4) barriers lead the draw splits
  • Short-priced runners have historically held their market at this trip

Deterministic data read — figures restated from this track and trip's sampled runnings, no interpretation applied. The full speed-map read and model picks follow race morning after final scratchings.

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Full speed-map read and model picks arrive race morning, once final scratchings and track condition are known.

Distance stats

Distance
2000m · 23 races (23 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)881252.2%13.6%0.88
Middle (5–9)901043.5%11.1%0.98
Wide (10+)4914.3%2%0.29

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)691043.5%14.5%0.93
On-pace (4–6)67834.8%11.9%0.88
Midfield (7–10)62417.4%6.5%0.72
Backmarkers (11+)2914.3%3.4%0.55

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)328.7%66.7%1.14
Pop ($2–5)49939.1%18.4%0.63
Mid ($5–10)47834.8%17%1.23
Roughie (>$10)128417.4%3.1%0.83