HoofMetricsdata · model · edge
← RosehillSaturday 4 July 2026

Rosehill R1

11:05Midway (Bm72)
1200mBenchmark 72Rail: 1mEarly preview · published 3 July 14:12 AEST — updated race morning
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Early mail — tomorrow's fields. Fields, barriers and stats published early (3 July 14:12 AEST). Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.
Early model rankings — previewearly predictions · not final
Early model predictions only. These WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updates — the final day's predictions and commentary are published race morning.
Early model — previewEarly predictions — these WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updatesEntropy3.29top 3
Ranked 1st
5. Island Dec
Adam Hyeronimus (4)
Ranked 2nd
13. Nullarbor Jane
Anna Roper (2)
Ranked 3rd
6. Zounaka
William A Stanley (7)
Predicted speed mapback → finish →
Backmarkers2
settle 11+
5 Island Dec(4)
7 Motoscafo(5)
Midfield4
settle 7–10
2 The Extreme Cat(9)
8 Xpresso(10)
15 Apache Breeze(11)
9 President(12)
On-pace4
settle 3–6
14 Last Druid(1)
4 Harlex(3)
11 Myriad(6)
12 Against The Law(8)
Leaders2
pushing for the lead
13 Nullarbor Jane(2)
6 Zounaka(7)

Historical overview

Across the 44 sampled runnings of 1200m at Rosehill: Leaders (settle 1–3) — 24 of 44 winners (54.5% of winners, 18.8% strike, 1.23 A/E). From the gates, Middle (5–9) — 19 of 44 winners (43.2% of winners, 10.5% strike, 0.84 A/E).

Today's going is not yet confirmed, so no going-specific split is shown — the broad sample above carries the read until race morning.

Market history at this trip: odds-on favourites are 1 from 7 (14.3% strike, 0.26 A/E); roughies (>$10) supply 31.8% of winners.

Historical leans

  • Leaders (settle 1–3) is the strongest settle band on the sample
  • Middle (5–9) barriers lead the draw splits

Deterministic data read — figures restated from this track and trip's sampled runnings, no interpretation applied. The full speed-map read and model picks follow race morning after final scratchings.

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Full speed-map read and model picks arrive race morning, once final scratchings and track condition are known.

Distance stats

Distance
1200m · 44 races (44 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)1611636.4%9.9%0.79
Middle (5–9)1811943.2%10.5%0.84
Wide (10+)114920.5%7.9%0.96

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)1282454.5%18.8%1.23
On-pace (4–6)128818.2%6.2%0.50
Midfield (7–10)125920.5%7.2%0.75
Backmarkers (11+)6724.5%3%0.54
Unknown812.3%12.5%0.83

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)712.3%14.3%0.26
Pop ($2–5)832147.7%25.3%0.94
Mid ($5–10)109818.2%7.3%0.55
Roughie (>$10)2571431.8%5.4%1.24