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Waverley

—Rail: True—09:18–13:55

Early mail — tomorrow's fields. Fields, barriers and stats published early (3 July 14:10 AEST). Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

Meeting overview

Waverley in NZ hosts a provincial meeting on —. The rail is True. There are 9 races scheduled from 09:18 to 13:55.

The card

Distances run from 1,200m to 2,200m across the card. The class mix is 3 maidens, 4 benchmark races, and 2 other races. The card leans toward middle-distance races. The feature race of the day is Chris Hay Livestock Ltd Hcp.

What history says

Over 72 races from 2025-07-25 to 2026-05-09, settling position flags midfield (7–10) as the clearest profile, underperforming market expectation (0.36 A/E, 3.1% strike rate).

Trainer Andrew Forsman has 4 runners and a 50.0% local strike rate from 12 runs (1.63 A/E) and Jockey Kavish Chowdhoory has 8 runners and a 22.7% local strike rate from 22 runs (1.71 A/E).

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Track profile: Waverley

72 races · 712 runners · since 2025-07-25

Today’s angles — 2+ runners here today & A/E > 1

JMadan Singh4 todayA/E 2.02JKavish Chowdhoory8 todayA/E 1.71TRobbie Patterson2 todayA/E 1.66TAndrew Forsman4 todayA/E 1.63JLeah Hemi9 todayA/E 1.62TS L Crawford3 todayA/E 1.60JToni Davies9 todayA/E 1.01

Barrier draw

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Inside (1–4)	264	31	43.1%	11.7%	0.90
Middle (5–9)	325	30	41.7%	9.2%	0.75
Wide (10+)	123	11	15.3%	8.9%	0.93

Settling position

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Leaders (1–3)	27	3	4.2%	11.1%	0.90
On-pace (4–6)	27	5	6.9%	18.5%	1.17
Midfield (7–10)	32	1	1.4%	3.1%	0.36
Backmarkers (11+)	5	0	0%	0%	0.00
Unknown	621	63	87.5%	10.1%	0.84

Market (SP)

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Odds-on (≤$2)	4	3	4.2%	75%	1.31
Pop ($2–5)	118	27	37.5%	22.9%	0.77
Mid ($5–10)	199	27	37.5%	13.6%	0.94
Roughie (>$10)	391	15	20.8%	3.8%	0.75

A/E = actual wins ÷ market-expected wins (Σ 1/SP). Above 1.0 (green) beats the market here; below 0.9 (red) lags. Strong bias day = a past meeting where one run-style won >65% of races (≥5 winners). “Today” = runners engaged here today.