HoofMetricsdata · model · edge
← WaverleySaturday 4 July 2026

Waverley R1

09:18Grain Hub Mdn
1400mMaidenRail: TrueEarly preview · published 3 July 14:13 AEST — updated race morning
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Early mail — tomorrow's fields. Fields, barriers and stats published early (3 July 14:13 AEST). Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.
Early model rankings — previewearly predictions · not final
Early model predictions only. These WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updates — the final day's predictions and commentary are published race morning.
Early model — previewEarly predictions — these WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updatesEntropy3.2top 3
Ranked 1st
8. La Florida
Amber Riddell (6)
Ranked 2nd
5. Kyanite Man
Leah Hemi (1)
Ranked 3rd
4. Guzzler
Sarah Macnab (6)
Predicted speed mapback → finish →
No data2
no recent settle
7 Audax(4)
11 Herding Cats(8)
Backmarkers2
settle 11+
5 Kyanite Man(1)
10 Georgina Rose(7)
Midfield4
settle 7–10
6 Meridivaci(2)
4 Guzzler(6)
8 La Florida(6)
2 Escape Room(10)
On-pace2
settle 3–6
3 Daiwa Explorer(3)
12 Pippasjewel(9)
Leaders2
pushing for the lead
1 Came True(5)
9 Lacey Luck(11)

Historical overview

Across the 25 sampled runnings of 1400m at Waverley: Unknown — 21 of 25 winners (84.0% of winners, 10.6% strike, 0.84 A/E). From the gates, Inside (1–4) — 11 of 25 winners (44.0% of winners, 12.2% strike, 0.86 A/E).

Today's going is not yet confirmed, so no going-specific split is shown — the broad sample above carries the read until race morning.

Market history at this trip: roughies (>$10) supply 8.0% of winners.

Historical leans

  • Unknown is the strongest settle band on the sample
  • Inside (1–4) barriers lead the draw splits

Deterministic data read — figures restated from this track and trip's sampled runnings, no interpretation applied. The full speed-map read and model picks follow race morning after final scratchings.

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Full speed-map read and model picks arrive race morning, once final scratchings and track condition are known.

Distance stats

Distance
1400m · 25 races (25 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)901144%12.2%0.86
Middle (5–9)111936%8.1%0.69
Wide (10+)35520%14.3%1.27

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)1228%16.7%1.16
On-pace (4–6)1228%16.7%1.15
Midfield (7–10)1300%0%0.00
Backmarkers (11+)100%0%0.00
Unknown1982184%10.6%0.84

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Pop ($2–5)431144%25.6%0.84
Mid ($5–10)741248%16.2%1.12
Roughie (>$10)11928%1.7%0.33