HoofMetricsdata · model · edge
← WaverleySaturday 4 July 2026

Waverley R3

10:25Eltham Vet Services – Jim Robins Mdn
1650mMaidenRail: TrueEarly preview · published 3 July 14:13 AEST — updated race morning
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Early mail — tomorrow's fields. Fields, barriers and stats published early (3 July 14:13 AEST). Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.
Early model rankings — previewearly predictions · not final
Early model predictions only. These WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updates — the final day's predictions and commentary are published race morning.
Early model — previewEarly predictions — these WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updatesEntropy3.97top 3
Ranked 1st
1. Borrowed Time
Kelly Myers (11)
Ranked 2nd
19. La Florida
(19)
Ranked 3rd
2. Offertory
Toni Davies (19)
Predicted speed mapback → finish →
No data1
no recent settle
14 Jilly Ocean(8)
Backmarkers4
settle 11+
11 Shochita(5)
12 Heavenly Blessed(12)
7 Our Darcy(15)
19 La Florida(19)
Midfield9
settle 7–10
3 No More Pennies(3)
9 Kay's Ruebe(4)
17 Ow Celereese(6)
16 Brian(7)
15 Jasper(9)
6 Homeland(13)
10 Timemakesthewine(16)
5 Flagship(17)
18 Flor De Cana(18)
On-pace3
settle 3–6
13 Desert Jewel(2)
20 Zashubo(10)
1 Borrowed Time(11)
Leaders3
pushing for the lead
8 Terrific Guy(1)
4 Popinjay(14)
2 Offertory(19)

Historical overview

Across the 17 sampled runnings of 1650m at Waverley: Unknown — 15 of 17 winners (88.2% of winners, 9.6% strike, 0.84 A/E). From the gates, Inside (1–4) — 8 of 17 winners (47.1% of winners, 12.9% strike, 1.07 A/E).

Today's going is not yet confirmed, so no going-specific split is shown — the broad sample above carries the read until race morning.

Market history at this trip: odds-on favourites are 1 from 1 (100.0% strike, 1.8 A/E); roughies (>$10) supply 29.4% of winners.

Historical leans

  • Unknown is the strongest settle band on the sample
  • Inside (1–4) barriers lead the draw splits
  • Short-priced runners have historically held their market at this trip

Deterministic data read — figures restated from this track and trip's sampled runnings, no interpretation applied. The full speed-map read and model picks follow race morning after final scratchings.

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Full speed-map read and model picks arrive race morning, once final scratchings and track condition are known.

Distance stats

Distance
1650m · 17 races (17 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)62847.1%12.9%1.07
Middle (5–9)79847.1%10.1%0.83
Wide (10+)3515.9%2.9%0.32

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)600%0%0.00
On-pace (4–6)615.9%16.7%0.95
Midfield (7–10)715.9%14.3%2.00
Backmarkers (11+)100%0%0.00
Unknown1561588.2%9.6%0.84

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)115.9%100%1.80
Pop ($2–5)29741.2%24.1%0.86
Mid ($5–10)43423.5%9.3%0.63
Roughie (>$10)103529.4%4.9%0.94