HoofMetricsdata · model · edge
← WaverleySaturday 4 July 2026

Waverley R5

11:33PJ & Dl Amon Contracting (Bm75)
1200mBenchmark 75Rail: TrueEarly preview · published 3 July 14:13 AEST — updated race morning
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Early mail — tomorrow's fields. Fields, barriers and stats published early (3 July 14:13 AEST). Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.
Early model rankings — previewearly predictions · not final
Early model predictions only. These WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updates — the final day's predictions and commentary are published race morning.
Early model — previewEarly predictions — these WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updatesEntropy3.14top 3
Ranked 1st
8. Cremant
Amber Riddell (4)
Ranked 2nd
1. Beauesk
Jim Chung (8)
Ranked 3rd
6. Our Time
Kelly Myers (1)
Predicted speed mapback → finish →
Backmarkers2
settle 11+
6 Our Time(1)
4 Im Bartholomew(11)
Midfield4
settle 7–10
10 Peppery(3)
7 Pepeha(6)
3 Meglio Di Falcrest(7)
9 Belles Fate(10)
On-pace3
settle 3–6
5 Bella Timing(2)
1 Beauesk(8)
2 Cypress(9)
Leaders2
pushing for the lead
8 Cremant(4)
11 Testing(5)

Historical overview

Across the 16 sampled runnings of 1200m at Waverley: Unknown — 14 of 16 winners (87.5% of winners, 10.5% strike, 0.83 A/E). From the gates, Middle (5–9) — 8 of 16 winners (50.0% of winners, 11.3% strike, 0.92 A/E).

Today's going is not yet confirmed, so no going-specific split is shown — the broad sample above carries the read until race morning.

Market history at this trip: odds-on favourites are 2 from 3 (66.7% strike, 1.15 A/E); roughies (>$10) supply 6.2% of winners.

Historical leans

  • Unknown is the strongest settle band on the sample
  • Middle (5–9) barriers lead the draw splits
  • Short-priced runners have historically held their market at this trip

Deterministic data read — figures restated from this track and trip's sampled runnings, no interpretation applied. The full speed-map read and model picks follow race morning after final scratchings.

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Full speed-map read and model picks arrive race morning, once final scratchings and track condition are known.

Distance stats

Distance
1200m · 16 races (16 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)62743.8%11.3%0.81
Middle (5–9)71850%11.3%0.92
Wide (10+)2016.2%5%0.54

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)600%0%0.00
On-pace (4–6)6212.5%33.3%1.78
Midfield (7–10)800%0%0.00
Unknown1331487.5%10.5%0.83

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)3212.5%66.7%1.15
Pop ($2–5)22850%36.4%1.14
Mid ($5–10)44531.2%11.4%0.82
Roughie (>$10)8416.2%1.2%0.23