HoofMetricsdata · model · edge
← WaverleySaturday 4 July 2026

Waverley R7

12:45Hill Street Greens Hcp
2200mOpenRail: TrueEarly preview · published 3 July 14:13 AEST — updated race morning
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Early mail — tomorrow's fields. Fields, barriers and stats published early (3 July 14:13 AEST). Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.
Early model rankings — previewearly predictions · not final
Early model predictions only. These WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updates — the final day's predictions and commentary are published race morning.
Early model — previewEarly predictions — these WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updatesEntropy3.32top 3
Ranked 1st
1. Tisse
Kelly Myers (8)
Ranked 2nd
9. Stella Success
Madan Singh (4)
Ranked 3rd
2. Mckhan
Liam Kauri (6)
Predicted speed mapback → finish →
Backmarkers2
settle 11+
4 Donnybrook(7)
1 Tisse(8)
Midfield3
settle 7–10
11 Captains Run(1)
7 Duke Of Plumpton(3)
5 Identikit(10)
On-pace5
settle 3–6
6 Pick Of The Litter(2)
9 Stella Success(4)
8 Quid(5)
2 Mckhan(6)
3 Cheval De Foudre(11)
Leaders1
pushing for the lead
10 Ayteem(9)

Historical overview

Across the 14 sampled runnings of 2200m at Waverley: Unknown — 13 of 14 winners (92.9% of winners, 9.7% strike, 0.84 A/E). From the gates, Inside (1–4) — 5 of 14 winners (35.7% of winners, 10.0% strike, 0.94 A/E).

Today's going is not yet confirmed, so no going-specific split is shown — the broad sample above carries the read until race morning.

Market history at this trip: roughies (>$10) supply 50.0% of winners.

Historical leans

  • Unknown is the strongest settle band on the sample
  • Inside (1–4) barriers lead the draw splits

Deterministic data read — figures restated from this track and trip's sampled runnings, no interpretation applied. The full speed-map read and model picks follow race morning after final scratchings.

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Full speed-map read and model picks arrive race morning, once final scratchings and track condition are known.

Distance stats

Distance
2200m · 14 races (14 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)50535.7%10%0.94
Middle (5–9)64535.7%7.8%0.59
Wide (10+)33428.6%12.1%1.37

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)317.1%33.3%7.79
On-pace (4–6)300%0%0.00
Midfield (7–10)400%0%0.00
Backmarkers (11+)300%0%0.00
Unknown1341392.9%9.7%0.84

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Pop ($2–5)2417.1%4.2%0.15
Mid ($5–10)38642.9%15.8%1.09
Roughie (>$10)85750%8.2%1.57