Hobart

TurfRail: +9m Entire—11:04–16:05

Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 4 July 14:06 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

Meeting overview

Hobart in TAS hosts a provincial meeting on Turf. The rail is +9m Entire. There are 9 races scheduled from 11:04 to 16:05.

The card

Distances run from 1,100m to 2,100m across the card. The class mix is 2 maidens, 3 benchmark races, and 4 other races. The card leans toward sprint trips. The feature race of the day is Alexandra Plate.

What history says

Over 238 races from 2025-05-11 to 2026-06-21, settling position flags backmarkers (11+) as the clearest profile, underperforming market expectation (0.58 A/E, 3.4% strike rate).

Jockey Erica Byrne Burke has 9 runners and a 22.3% local strike rate from 112 runs (1.04 A/E) and Trainer Sarah Cotton has 2 runners and a 13.4% local strike rate from 67 runs (1.12 A/E).

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Track profile: Hobart

238 races · 2327 runners · since 2025-05-11

Today’s angles — 2+ runners here today & A/E > 1

TPatrick Dargan2 todayA/E 1.95TImogen Miller2 todayA/E 1.70TG J McCulloch4 todayA/E 1.43TSarah Cotton2 todayA/E 1.12JErica Byrne Burke9 todayA/E 1.04JBree Temple7 todayA/E 1.02

Barrier draw

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Inside (1–4)	913	102	42.9%	11.2%	0.81
Middle (5–9)	1005	106	44.5%	10.5%	0.84
Wide (10+)	409	30	12.6%	7.3%	0.75

Settling position

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Leaders (1–3)	574	84	35.3%	14.6%	0.96
On-pace (4–6)	567	64	26.9%	11.3%	0.79
Midfield (7–10)	552	37	15.5%	6.7%	0.68
Backmarkers (11+)	178	6	2.5%	3.4%	0.58
Unknown	456	47	19.7%	10.3%	0.81

Market (SP)

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Odds-on (≤$2)	42	18	7.6%	42.9%	0.68
Pop ($2–5)	468	121	50.8%	25.9%	0.90
Mid ($5–10)	564	63	26.5%	11.2%	0.84
Roughie (>$10)	1253	36	15.1%	2.9%	0.65

A/E = actual wins ÷ market-expected wins (Σ 1/SP). Above 1.0 (green) beats the market here; below 0.9 (red) lags. Strong bias day = a past meeting where one run-style won >65% of races (≥5 winners). “Today” = runners engaged here today.