HoofMetricsdata · model · edge
← HobartSunday 5 July 2026

Hobart R6

14:12Ladbrokes Hosted Pots (Bm60)
1600mBenchmark 60Rail: +9m
Races123456789

Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 4 July 14:10 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

Early model rankings — previewupdated race morning · not final
Early model — previewEarly predictions — these WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updatesEntropy3.52top 3
Ranked 1st
2. Sir Jag
Anthony Darmanin (12)
Ranked 2nd
11. Carnelian Rock
Lauryn Bingley (2)
Ranked 3rd
3. Stardarmus
Luke P Dempsey (6)
Predicted speed mapback → finish →
Backmarkers2
settle 11+
5 Jedd's Jet(7)
13 Rapids Ahead(9)
Midfield6
settle 7–10
7 Striding Bay(1)
11 Carnelian Rock(2)
14 Miss Pebbles(4)
3 Stardarmus(6)
10 Mateus(13)
1 Designer Dreamer(14)
On-pace3
settle 3–6
9 High Tail Eagle(3)
8 Reservoir Dog(5)
2 Sir Jag(12)
Leaders3
pushing for the lead
4 Eaglefurther(8)
12 Purr Sefanee(10)
6 Coastal Strike(11)

Historical overview

Across the 43 sampled runnings of 1600m at Hobart: Leaders (settle 1–3) — 17 of 43 winners (39.5% of winners, 14.9% strike, 1.0 A/E). From the gates, Inside (1–4) — 21 of 43 winners (48.8% of winners, 12.5% strike, 0.85 A/E).

Narrowed to today's rail position (1600m · +9m ±1m, 12 races): Leaders (settle 1–3) — 6 of 12 winners (50.0% of winners, 16.7% strike, 1.14 A/E).

Market history at this trip: odds-on favourites are 3 from 6 (50.0% strike, 0.76 A/E); roughies (>$10) supply 18.6% of winners.

Historical leans

  • Leaders (settle 1–3) is the strongest settle band on the sample
  • Inside (1–4) barriers lead the draw splits

Deterministic data read — figures restated from this track and trip's sampled runnings, no interpretation applied. The full speed-map read and model picks follow race morning after final scratchings.

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Distance stats

Distance
1600m · 43 races (43 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)1682148.8%12.5%0.85
Middle (5–9)1721944.2%11%0.86
Wide (10+)6337%4.8%0.52

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)1141739.5%14.9%1.00
On-pace (4–6)113818.6%7.1%0.57
Midfield (7–10)1031227.9%11.7%0.89
Backmarkers (11+)3112.3%3.2%0.48
Unknown42511.6%11.9%0.82

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)637%50%0.76
Pop ($2–5)902353.5%25.6%0.88
Mid ($5–10)102920.9%8.8%0.67
Roughie (>$10)205818.6%3.9%0.88