HoofMetricsdata · model · edge
← Sunday 5 July 2026QLD

Townsville

TurfRail: +4m 1000m-W/Post; +2m Remainder—12:29–17:05

Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 4 July 14:06 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

Meeting overview

Townsville in QLD hosts a country meeting on Turf. The rail is +4m 1000m-W/Post; +2m Remainder. There are 8 races scheduled from 12:29 to 17:05.

The card

Distances run from 1,000m to 2,000m across the card. The class mix is 1 maiden, 1 benchmark race, 1 restricted race, and 5 other races. The card leans toward sprint trips. The feature race of the day is The Ville Chairman's Sprint Hcp.

What history says

Over 275 races from 2025-05-06 to 2026-06-28, settling position flags backmarkers (11+) as the clearest profile, underperforming market expectation (0.30 A/E, 2.1% strike rate).

Trainer Graham R Hughes has 5 runners and a 10.4% local strike rate from 164 runs (1.32 A/E) and Trainer Matthew McGuire has 2 runners and a 14.7% local strike rate from 109 runs (1.16 A/E).

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Track profile: Townsville

275 races · 2789 runners · since 2025-05-06

Today’s angles — 2+ runners here today & A/E > 1

TMs J Hassett2 todayA/E 1.35TGraham R Hughes5 todayA/E 1.32JTahlia Fenlon6 todayA/E 1.27JLauren Guernier2 todayA/E 1.25TTerry McGovern2 todayA/E 1.20TMatthew McGuire2 todayA/E 1.16JChelsea Jokic6 todayA/E 1.12TG W Dickson2 todayA/E 1.11JIvo Fry6 todayA/E 1.10TA G Malliff4 todayA/E 1.08TF J Wieland4 todayA/E 1.06TMs S Royes2 todayA/E 1.05JAshley Butler5 todayA/E 1.02TTracy Simmons2 todayA/E 1.02TSharlee Hoffman2 todayA/E 1.01

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)106911240.6%10.5%0.75
Middle (5–9)121613047.1%10.7%0.94
Wide (10+)5043412.3%6.7%0.72

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)68311039.9%16.1%1.01
On-pace (4–6)6776925%10.2%0.78
Midfield (7–10)6934516.3%6.5%0.70
Backmarkers (11+)24351.8%2.1%0.30
Unknown4934717%9.5%0.81

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)693914.1%56.5%0.95
Pop ($2–5)52013749.6%26.3%0.92
Mid ($5–10)6266222.5%9.9%0.74
Roughie (>$10)15743813.8%2.4%0.61

A/E = actual wins ÷ market-expected wins (Σ 1/SP). Above 1.0 (green) beats the market here; below 0.9 (red) lags. Strong bias day = a past meeting where one run-style won >65% of races (≥5 winners). “Today” = runners engaged here today.