Townsville R2

13:09NAIDOC Celebration Race Mdn Hcp

1400mMaidenRail: +4m

Races1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8Track

Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 4 July 14:10 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

Early model rankings — previewupdated race morning · not final

Early model — previewEarly predictions — these WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updatesEntropy2.61top 3

Ranked 1st

1. Prince Pier

Ben Kennedy (3)

Ranked 2nd

3. Small Town Hussler

Ryan Wiggins (2)

Ranked 3rd

7. Okay Zoomer

Ivo Fry (11)

Predicted speed mapback → finish →

Backmarkers1

settle 11+

6Tutu Toulouse(4)

Midfield5

settle 7–10

10Ballandella Street(5)

11Trusting Star(6)

4Roth Authority(8)

5Mo Spirit(10)

7Okay Zoomer(11)

On-pace5

settle 3–6

8Power Cruise(1)

3Small Town Hussler(2)

9Onoma(7)

12Volare(9)

2Alvin(12)

Leaders1

pushing for the lead

1Prince Pier(3)

Historical overview

Across the 52 sampled runnings of 1400m at Townsville: Leaders (settle 1–3) — 17 of 52 winners (32.7% of winners, 12.9% strike, 0.84 A/E). From the gates, Middle (5–9) — 31 of 52 winners (59.6% of winners, 13.8% strike, 1.14 A/E).

Narrowed to today's rail position (1400m · +4m ±1m, 16 races): Leaders (settle 1–3) — 9 of 16 winners (56.2% of winners, 18.8% strike, 1.05 A/E).

Market history at this trip: odds-on favourites are 4 from 7 (57.1% strike, 0.99 A/E); roughies (>$10) supply 11.5% of winners.

Historical leans

Leaders (settle 1–3) is the strongest settle band on the sample
Middle (5–9) barriers lead the draw splits

Deterministic data read — figures restated from this track and trip's sampled runnings, no interpretation applied. The full speed-map read and model picks follow race morning after final scratchings.

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Distance stats

Distance

1400m · 52 races (52 winners)

Barrier draw

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Inside (1–4)	202	17	32.7%	8.4%	0.60
Middle (5–9)	224	31	59.6%	13.8%	1.14
Wide (10+)	89	4	7.7%	4.5%	0.50

Settling position

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Leaders (1–3)	132	17	32.7%	12.9%	0.84
On-pace (4–6)	132	15	28.8%	11.4%	0.90
Midfield (7–10)	127	11	21.2%	8.7%	0.84
Backmarkers (11+)	43	1	1.9%	2.3%	0.26
Unknown	81	8	15.4%	9.9%	0.81

Market (SP)

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Odds-on (≤$2)	7	4	7.7%	57.1%	0.99
Pop ($2–5)	108	29	55.8%	26.9%	0.93
Mid ($5–10)	127	13	25%	10.2%	0.76
Roughie (>$10)	273	6	11.5%	2.2%	0.54