Ipswich R5

14:06TAB Mdn Plate
1350mMaidenRail: +6mEarly preview · published 2 July 14:42 AEST — updated race morning
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Early mail — tomorrow's fields. Fields, barriers and stats published early (2 July 14:42 AEST). Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.
Early model rankings — previewearly predictions · not final
Early model predictions only. These WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updates — the final day's predictions and commentary are published race morning.
Early model — previewEarly predictions — will change with final scratchings, jockeys and track conditionEntropy3.32top 3
Ranked 1st
3. English Conqueror
Taylor Marshall (4)
Ranked 2nd
7. Shrewdness
Emily Lang (14)
Ranked 3rd
12. Bassett's Choice
Ryan Maloney (11)
Predicted speed mapback → finish →
Backmarkers4
settle 11+
8 Wild Bean(1)
5 Nasiron(3)
6 Painted Dancer(12)
14 Voltessa(13)
Midfield6
settle 7–10
16 Seeyoulaterjohnny(5)
17 Esther Mary(7)
4 I Say I Say(9)
12 Bassett's Choice(11)
13 Hell Of A High(12)
18 Hansaglory(15)
On-pace5
settle 3–6
2 Coccinella(2)
3 English Conqueror(4)
11 Queen Of Light(6)
9 Bloods A Rushin'(8)
7 Shrewdness(14)
Leaders1
pushing for the lead
10 Captivate Legend(10)

Historical overview

Across the 99 sampled runnings of 1350m at Ipswich: On-pace (settle 4–6) — 33 of 99 winners (33.3% of winners, 12.2% strike, 0.87 A/E). From the gates, Middle (5–9) — 41 of 99 winners (41.4% of winners, 9.7% strike, 0.81 A/E).

Narrowed to today's rail position (1350m · +6m ±1m, 14 races): Leaders (settle 1–3) — 6 of 14 winners (42.9% of winners, 17.6% strike, 1.24 A/E).

Market history at this trip: odds-on favourites are 8 from 16 (50.0% strike, 0.82 A/E); roughies (>$10) supply 20.2% of winners.

Historical leans

  • On-pace (settle 4–6) is the strongest settle band on the sample
  • Middle (5–9) barriers lead the draw splits
  • Favourites underperform their market share at this trip on this sample

Deterministic data read — figures restated from this track and trip's sampled runnings, no interpretation applied. The full speed-map read and model picks follow race morning after final scratchings.

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Full speed-map read and model picks arrive race morning, once final scratchings and track condition are known.

Distance stats

Distance
1350m · 99 races (99 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)3693939.4%10.6%0.76
Middle (5–9)4214141.4%9.7%0.81
Wide (10+)1981919.2%9.6%1.03

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)2713333.3%12.2%0.82
On-pace (4–6)2703333.3%12.2%0.87
Midfield (7–10)2841919.2%6.7%0.74
Backmarkers (11+)8655.1%5.8%0.92
Unknown7799.1%11.7%0.84

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)1688.1%50%0.82
Pop ($2–5)1964141.4%20.9%0.72
Mid ($5–10)2253030.3%13.3%0.98
Roughie (>$10)5512020.2%3.6%0.86