Historical overview
Across the 71 sampled runnings of 1100m at Ipswich: Leaders (settle 1–3) — 43 of 71 winners (60.6% of winners, 22.6% strike, 1.21 A/E). From the gates, Middle (5–9) — 33 of 71 winners (46.5% of winners, 11.5% strike, 0.89 A/E).
Narrowed to today's rail position (1100m · +6m ±1m, 14 races): Leaders (settle 1–3) — 8 of 14 winners (57.1% of winners, 22.2% strike, 1.19 A/E).
Market history at this trip: odds-on favourites are 9 from 19 (47.4% strike, 0.76 A/E); roughies (>$10) supply 21.1% of winners.
Historical leans
- Leaders (settle 1–3) is the strongest settle band on the sample
- Middle (5–9) barriers lead the draw splits
- Favourites underperform their market share at this trip on this sample
Deterministic data read — figures restated from this track and trip's sampled runnings, no interpretation applied. The full speed-map read and model picks follow race morning after final scratchings.