Historical overview
Across the 99 sampled runnings of 1350m at Ipswich: On-pace (settle 4–6) — 33 of 99 winners (33.3% of winners, 12.2% strike, 0.87 A/E). From the gates, Middle (5–9) — 41 of 99 winners (41.4% of winners, 9.7% strike, 0.81 A/E).
Narrowed to today's rail position (1350m · +6m ±1m, 14 races): Leaders (settle 1–3) — 6 of 14 winners (42.9% of winners, 17.6% strike, 1.24 A/E).
Market history at this trip: odds-on favourites are 8 from 16 (50.0% strike, 0.82 A/E); roughies (>$10) supply 20.2% of winners.
Historical leans
- On-pace (settle 4–6) is the strongest settle band on the sample
- Middle (5–9) barriers lead the draw splits
- Favourites underperform their market share at this trip on this sample
Deterministic data read — figures restated from this track and trip's sampled runnings, no interpretation applied. The full speed-map read and model picks follow race morning after final scratchings.