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← IpswichFriday 3 July 2026

Ipswich R8

15:53Fertpro Hcp (58)
1100mRestricted 58Rail: +6mEarly preview · published 2 July 14:42 AEST — updated race morning
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Early mail — tomorrow's fields. Fields, barriers and stats published early (2 July 14:42 AEST). Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.
Early model rankings — previewearly predictions · not final
Early model predictions only. These WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updates — the final day's predictions and commentary are published race morning.
Early model — previewEarly predictions — will change with final scratchings, jockeys and track conditionEntropy3.6top 3
Ranked 1st
2. Aeropower
Sean Cormack (3)
Ranked 2nd
8. Upstart Lover
Benjamin Osmond (4)
Ranked 3rd
4. Riva D'amor
Montana Philpot (14)
Predicted speed mapback → finish →
Backmarkers0
settle 11+
—
Midfield9
settle 7–10
7 Intrecciato(1)
14 Late Night Devil(2)
2 Aeropower(3)
3 Ocean Joy(5)
15 Pacific Pirate(9)
1 Miss Zermatt(11)
9 Beau's Girl(12)
4 Riva D'amor(14)
12 Jardin De Lys(15)
On-pace4
settle 3–6
8 Upstart Lover(4)
13 Time To Cry(6)
11 Rare Moon(8)
6 Hannabana(10)
Leaders2
pushing for the lead
5 Enchaanted(7)
10 Flitgrove(13)

Historical overview

Across the 71 sampled runnings of 1100m at Ipswich: Leaders (settle 1–3) — 43 of 71 winners (60.6% of winners, 22.6% strike, 1.21 A/E). From the gates, Middle (5–9) — 33 of 71 winners (46.5% of winners, 11.5% strike, 0.89 A/E).

Narrowed to today's rail position (1100m · +6m ±1m, 14 races): Leaders (settle 1–3) — 8 of 14 winners (57.1% of winners, 22.2% strike, 1.19 A/E).

Market history at this trip: odds-on favourites are 9 from 19 (47.4% strike, 0.76 A/E); roughies (>$10) supply 21.1% of winners.

Historical leans

  • Leaders (settle 1–3) is the strongest settle band on the sample
  • Middle (5–9) barriers lead the draw splits
  • Favourites underperform their market share at this trip on this sample

Deterministic data read — figures restated from this track and trip's sampled runnings, no interpretation applied. The full speed-map read and model picks follow race morning after final scratchings.

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Full speed-map read and model picks arrive race morning, once final scratchings and track condition are known.

Distance stats

Distance
1100m · 71 races (71 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)2623143.7%11.8%0.76
Middle (5–9)2883346.5%11.5%0.89
Wide (10+)6279.9%11.3%0.97

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)1904360.6%22.6%1.21
On-pace (4–6)1881622.5%8.5%0.62
Midfield (7–10)16057%3.1%0.36
Backmarkers (11+)700%0%0.00
Unknown6779.9%10.4%0.73

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)19912.7%47.4%0.76
Pop ($2–5)1383346.5%23.9%0.82
Mid ($5–10)1441419.7%9.7%0.71
Roughie (>$10)3111521.1%4.8%1.10