HoofMetricsdata · model · edge
← IpswichFriday 3 July 2026

Ipswich R6

14:41Gordon's Gin Hcp (58)
1690mRestricted 58Rail: +6mEarly preview · published 2 July 14:42 AEST — updated race morning
Races123456789
Early mail — tomorrow's fields. Fields, barriers and stats published early (2 July 14:42 AEST). Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.
Early model rankings — previewearly predictions · not final
Early model predictions only. These WILL MOST LIKELY change with final scratchings, jockey changes and track condition updates — the final day's predictions and commentary are published race morning.
Early model — previewEarly predictions — will change with final scratchings, jockeys and track conditionEntropy3.45top 3
Ranked 1st
9. Heroic Delaneys
Brandon Lerena (1)
Ranked 2nd
1. Slipsain
Adin Thompson (8)
Ranked 3rd
2. Switchblade
Kyle Wilson-Taylor (6)
Predicted speed mapback → finish →
Backmarkers2
settle 11+
6 Causeways(7)
5 Summit(9)
Midfield5
settle 7–10
9 Heroic Delaneys(1)
14 Rocked(4)
2 Switchblade(6)
1 Slipsain(8)
8 Classique Gal(12)
On-pace3
settle 3–6
12 Piertaga(2)
13 Harley Charlie(11)
11 Imarealamerican(13)
Leaders3
pushing for the lead
3 Chayse 'n' Leisa(3)
10 Escape Beach(5)
7 Aima Sun(10)

Historical overview

Across the 55 sampled runnings of 1690m at Ipswich: On-pace (settle 4–6) — 19 of 55 winners (34.5% of winners, 13.3% strike, 0.93 A/E). From the gates, Middle (5–9) — 27 of 55 winners (49.1% of winners, 11.2% strike, 0.95 A/E).

Narrowed to today's rail position (1690m · +6m ±1m, 16 races): Leaders (settle 1–3) — 7 of 16 winners (43.8% of winners, 16.3% strike, 0.93 A/E).

Market history at this trip: odds-on favourites are 4 from 8 (50.0% strike, 0.9 A/E); roughies (>$10) supply 20.0% of winners.

Historical leans

  • On-pace (settle 4–6) is the strongest settle band on the sample
  • Middle (5–9) barriers lead the draw splits
  • Favourites underperform their market share at this trip on this sample

Deterministic data read — figures restated from this track and trip's sampled runnings, no interpretation applied. The full speed-map read and model picks follow race morning after final scratchings.

This overview is generated automatically from real race data by the HoofMetrics data engine — it is not AI-written. If you have feedback, email hello@hoofmetrics.com.Generated by HoofMetrics data engine (deterministic).

Full speed-map read and model picks arrive race morning, once final scratchings and track condition are known.

Distance stats

Distance
1690m · 55 races (55 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)2081934.5%9.1%0.62
Middle (5–9)2402749.1%11.2%0.95
Wide (10+)89916.4%10.1%1.14

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)1451527.3%10.3%0.66
On-pace (4–6)1431934.5%13.3%0.93
Midfield (7–10)1431323.6%9.1%0.96
Backmarkers (11+)3211.8%3.1%0.58
Unknown74712.7%9.5%0.83

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)847.3%50%0.90
Pop ($2–5)1122443.6%21.4%0.75
Mid ($5–10)1301629.1%12.3%0.89
Roughie (>$10)2871120%3.8%0.88