Wangaratta R1

12:50Pacific Hire Mdn Plate
1000mMaidenRail: True
Races1234567

Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 5 July 14:08 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

Pacific Hire Mdn Platea 1000m maiden at Wangaratta, jumping at 12:50 on ground, rail true. 14 runners engaged.

At the trip

Wangaratta has staged 13 races at 1000m in our sample — indicative rather than conclusive.

  • Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 9 of 13 (69.2% win share); Wide (10+) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.00 (0 from 47).
  • Pace: Settle position 4–6 wins the most races here — 5 of 13 (38.5% win share) — and beats its market price too (A/E 1.21).
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 8 of 13 (61.5% win share); Mid ($5–10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.27 (1 from 28).
  • Data note: settling position is unknown for 24 runners in this sample, which dilutes the pace numbers.

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions covers 11 runnings — indicative rather than conclusive.

  • Barrier draw: read holds — Middle (5–9) again on top: A/E 1.22 (8 from 52).
  • Pace: read holds — Settle position 4–6 again on top: A/E 1.21 (5 from 33).
  • Market: read holds — Pop ($2–5) again on top: A/E 1.28 (8 from 21).

Jockeys & trainers

  • Jockey Brad Rawiller: 27 from 173 (15.6%) in the last 90 days (11 of those in the last 30) — rides #4 Regal Vanguard here.
  • Trainer Jerome Hunter: 7 from 39 (17.9%) in the last 90 days — saddles #10 My Bonnie Lassie here.
  • Jockey John Keating is 2 from 18 at today’s meeting profile (11.1% strike, A/E 2.77) and has #6 Works Dirty here.
  • Jockey Mitchell Aitken is 2 from 18 at today’s meeting profile (11.1% strike, A/E 1.37) and has #13 Xuxa Kiss here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1000m · 13 races (13 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)50430.8%8%0.72
Middle (5–9)62969.2%14.5%1.18
Wide (10+)4700%0%0.00

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)33430.8%12.1%0.86
On-pace (4–6)33538.5%15.2%1.21
Midfield (7–10)44215.4%4.5%0.65
Backmarkers (11+)2500%0%0.00
Unknown24215.4%8.3%0.81

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)200%0%0.00
Pop ($2–5)24861.5%33.3%1.12
Mid ($5–10)2817.7%3.6%0.27
Roughie (>$10)105430.8%3.8%1.00