Wangaratta R7

16:30Nathan Stribley Memorial Hcp (56)
1300mRestricted 56Rail: True
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 5 July 14:08 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

Nathan Stribley Memorial Hcp (56)a 1300m restricted 56 at Wangaratta, jumping at 16:30 on ground, rail true. 14 runners engaged.

At the trip

Wangaratta has staged 19 races at 1300m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 8 of 19 (42.1% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Pace: Settle position 4–6 wins the most races here — 9 of 19 (47.4% win share) — and beats its market price too (A/E 1.53).
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 10 of 19 (52.6% win share); Roughie (>$10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.51 (3 from 146).

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions covers 19 runnings — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: read holds — Inside (1–4) again on top: A/E 0.99 (8 from 71).
  • Pace: read holds — Settle position 4–6 again on top: A/E 1.53 (9 from 57).
  • Market: read holds — Pop ($2–5) again on top: A/E 1.02 (10 from 35).

Jockeys & trainers

  • Trainer J E & C Ledger: 7 from 30 (23.3%) in the last 90 days — saddles #4 Captain Barbossa, #14 Rydell High here.
  • Jockey Mitchell Aitken is 2 from 18 at today’s meeting profile (11.1% strike, A/E 1.37) and has #4 Captain Barbossa here.
  • Jockey Logan McNeil is 2 from 28 at today’s meeting profile (7.1% strike, A/E 1.24) and has #7 Wild Legacy here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1300m · 19 races (19 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)71842.1%11.3%0.99
Middle (5–9)78526.3%6.4%0.66
Wide (10+)90631.6%6.7%0.78

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)57842.1%14%1.18
On-pace (4–6)57947.4%15.8%1.53
Midfield (7–10)73210.5%2.7%0.30
Backmarkers (11+)5200%0%0.00

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Pop ($2–5)351052.6%28.6%1.02
Mid ($5–10)58631.6%10.3%0.78
Roughie (>$10)146315.8%2.1%0.51