Wangaratta R5

15:10Sportsbet More Places (Bm52)
2000mBenchmark 52Rail: True
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 5 July 14:08 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

Sportsbet More Places (Bm52)a 2000m benchmark 52 at Wangaratta, jumping at 15:10 on ground, rail true. 11 runners engaged.

At the trip

Wangaratta has staged 15 races at 2000m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 7 of 15 (46.7% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 and Settle position 4–6 win the most races here — 5 of 15 each (33.3% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) and Mid ($5–10) and Roughie (>$10) win the most races here — 4 of 15 each (26.7% win share); the value band has been Roughie (>$10) — A/E 1.40 (4 from 74).

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions covers 13 runnings — indicative rather than conclusive.

  • Barrier draw: read holds — Wide (10+) again on top: A/E 1.11 (3 from 29).
  • Pace: read holds — Settle position 11+ again on top: A/E 1.42 (1 from 11).
  • Market: read holds — Roughie (>$10) again on top: A/E 1.63 (4 from 63).

Jockeys & trainers

  • Jockey Brad Rawiller: 27 from 173 (15.6%) in the last 90 days (11 of those in the last 30) — rides #3 Makusha here.
  • Trainer J E & C Ledger: 7 from 30 (23.3%) in the last 90 days — saddles #1 Sir Basil here.
  • Jockey John Keating is 2 from 18 at today’s meeting profile (11.1% strike, A/E 2.77) and has #5 Leica Trooper here.
  • Jockey Jake Duffy is 10 from 75 at today’s meeting profile (13.3% strike, A/E 1.21) and has #8 I Could Do Better here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
2000m · 15 races (15 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)58533.3%8.6%0.64
Middle (5–9)62746.7%11.3%0.91
Wide (10+)32320%9.4%1.04

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)45533.3%11.1%0.79
On-pace (4–6)45533.3%11.1%0.73
Midfield (7–10)49426.7%8.2%0.90
Backmarkers (11+)1316.7%7.7%1.32

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)3320%100%1.82
Pop ($2–5)30426.7%13.3%0.48
Mid ($5–10)45426.7%8.9%0.71
Roughie (>$10)74426.7%5.4%1.40