Wangaratta R2

13:251 Stop Training Centre Mdn Plate
1300mMaidenRail: True
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 5 July 14:08 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

1 Stop Training Centre Mdn Platea 1300m maiden at Wangaratta, jumping at 13:25 on ground, rail true. 12 runners engaged.

At the trip

Wangaratta has staged 19 races at 1300m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 8 of 19 (42.1% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Pace: Settle position 4–6 wins the most races here — 9 of 19 (47.4% win share) — and beats its market price too (A/E 1.53).
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 10 of 19 (52.6% win share); Roughie (>$10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.51 (3 from 146).

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions covers 19 runnings — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: read holds — Inside (1–4) again on top: A/E 0.99 (8 from 71).
  • Pace: read holds — Settle position 4–6 again on top: A/E 1.53 (9 from 57).
  • Market: read holds — Pop ($2–5) again on top: A/E 1.02 (10 from 35).

Jockeys & trainers

  • Jockey Brad Rawiller: 27 from 173 (15.6%) in the last 90 days (11 of those in the last 30) — rides #3 Daniel Boone here.
  • Trainer J E & C Ledger: 7 from 30 (23.3%) in the last 90 days — saddles #12 Supreme Lass here.
  • Trainer Patrick Payne: 36 from 189 (19.0%) in the last 90 days (18 of those in the last 30) — saddles #2 Bold Jester here.
  • Jockey John Keating is 2 from 18 at today’s meeting profile (11.1% strike, A/E 2.77) and has #1 Big Chev here.
  • Jockey Logan McNeil is 2 from 28 at today’s meeting profile (7.1% strike, A/E 1.24) and has #6 Harry Caviar here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1300m · 19 races (19 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)71842.1%11.3%0.99
Middle (5–9)78526.3%6.4%0.66
Wide (10+)90631.6%6.7%0.78

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)57842.1%14%1.18
On-pace (4–6)57947.4%15.8%1.53
Midfield (7–10)73210.5%2.7%0.30
Backmarkers (11+)5200%0%0.00

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Pop ($2–5)351052.6%28.6%1.02
Mid ($5–10)58631.6%10.3%0.78
Roughie (>$10)146315.8%2.1%0.51