Roma & Esk July 11 Mdn Hcp — a 1650m maiden at Beaudesert, jumping at 12:43 on — ground, rail true. 8 runners engaged.
At the trip
Beaudesert has staged 19 races at 1650m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.
- Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 9 of 19 (47.4% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
- Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 6 of 19 (31.6% win share); Settle position 4–6 underperforms its market price — A/E 0.47 (2 from 30).
- Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 13 of 19 (68.4% win share); Roughie (>$10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.49 (2 from 101).
- Data note: settling position is unknown for 94 runners in this sample, which dilutes the pace numbers.
Rail effect
Grouping similar rail positions covers 14 runnings — indicative rather than conclusive.
- Barrier draw: edge tilts to Wide (10+) — A/E 1.02 (3 from 27); overall it's Middle (5–9).
- Pace: read holds — Settle position 1–3 again on top: A/E 1.11 (5 from 24).
- Market: read holds — Mid ($5–10) again on top: A/E 1.29 (4 from 23).
Jockeys & trainers
- Together, Benjamin Osmond × K A Lees are 7 from 35 (20.0%) in the last 90 days — they combine with #6 Taga Smile here.
- Jockey Jag Guthmann-Chester: 6 from 34 (17.6%) in the last 30 days — rides #2 Weekend Spirit here.
- Jockey Jaden Lloyd: 21 from 123 (17.1%) in the last 90 days (7 of those in the last 30) — rides #7 Bassett's Choice here.
- Trainer Jack Bruce: 24 from 122 (19.7%) in the last 90 days (9 of those in the last 30) — saddles #2 Weekend Spirit here.
- Jockey Georgina Cartwright is 6 from 19 at today’s meeting profile (31.6% strike, A/E 1.98) and has #8 Happy Coffee here.
- Jockey Danny Peisley is 4 from 21 at today’s meeting profile (19.0% strike, A/E 1.23) and has #1 Meaner Than Most here.