Beaudesert R3

13:53Ilfracombe Picnic Race Club July 11 Mdn Hcp
1100mMaidenRail: True
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 6 July 14:09 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

Ilfracombe Picnic Race Club July 11 Mdn Hcpa 1100m maiden at Beaudesert, jumping at 13:53 on ground, rail true. 18 runners engaged.

At the trip

Beaudesert has staged 13 races at 1100m in our sample — indicative rather than conclusive.

  • Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 7 of 13 (53.8% win share); Wide (10+) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.56 (1 from 22).
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 5 of 13 (38.5% win share); Settle position 4–6 underperforms its market price — A/E 0.36 (1 from 21).
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 7 of 13 (53.8% win share); Roughie (>$10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.33 (1 from 62).
  • Data note: settling position is unknown for 62 runners in this sample, which dilutes the pace numbers.

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions covers 9 runnings — indicative rather than conclusive.

  • Barrier draw: read holds — Inside (1–4) again on top: A/E 1.25 (6 from 35).
  • Pace: read holds — Settle position 1–3 again on top: A/E 1.10 (3 from 12).
  • Market: read holds — Pop ($2–5) again on top: A/E 0.89 (4 from 15).

Jockeys & trainers

  • Jockey Samantha Pointon: 7 from 36 (19.4%) in the last 30 days — rides #3 Porcelain Prince here.
  • Trainer Jack Bruce: 24 from 122 (19.7%) in the last 90 days (9 of those in the last 30) — saddles #17 Luminous Girl here.
  • Trainer Michael Freedman: 25 from 144 (17.4%) in the last 90 days (10 of those in the last 30) — saddles #6 King's Coin here.
  • Jockey Georgina Cartwright is 6 from 19 at today’s meeting profile (31.6% strike, A/E 1.98) and has #13 Major Hot here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1100m · 13 races (13 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)51753.8%13.7%0.88
Middle (5–9)52538.5%9.6%0.79
Wide (10+)2217.7%4.5%0.56

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)21538.5%23.8%1.17
On-pace (4–6)2117.7%4.8%0.36
Midfield (7–10)1817.7%5.6%0.70
Backmarkers (11+)300%0%0.00
Unknown62646.2%9.7%0.81

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)117.7%100%1.80
Pop ($2–5)27753.8%25.9%0.91
Mid ($5–10)35430.8%11.4%0.85
Roughie (>$10)6217.7%1.6%0.33