Thangool Race Club July 18 Hcp (C2) — a 1200m class 2 at Beaudesert, jumping at 14:28 on — ground, rail true. 10 runners engaged.
At the trip
Beaudesert has staged 22 races at 1200m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.
- Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 14 of 22 (63.6% win share) — and beats its market price too (A/E 1.23).
- Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 9 of 22 (40.9% win share); Settle position 4–6 underperforms its market price — A/E 0.54 (4 from 44).
- Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 10 of 22 (45.5% win share); the value band has been Mid ($5–10) — A/E 1.39 (9 from 47).
- Data note: settling position is unknown for 73 runners in this sample, which dilutes the pace numbers.
Rail effect
Grouping similar rail positions covers 18 runnings — a sample worth weighting.
- Barrier draw: read holds — Middle (5–9) again on top: A/E 1.41 (13 from 68).
- Pace: read holds — Settle position 1–3 again on top: A/E 1.23 (8 from 33).
- Market: read holds — Mid ($5–10) again on top: A/E 1.49 (7 from 34).
Jockeys & trainers
- Together, Leah Martyn × T J Gollan are 4 from 25 (16.0%) in the last 90 days — they combine with #6 Lebanese here.
- Jockey Brandon Lerena is 5 from 25 at today’s meeting profile (20.0% strike, A/E 1.40) and has #5 El Centro here.
- Trainer Jeff Dunn is 3 from 17 at today’s meeting profile (17.6% strike, A/E 1.32) and has #5 El Centro here.