Beaudesert R6

15:38Gympie Turf Club July 18 (Bm65)
2450mBenchmark 65Rail: True
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 6 July 14:09 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

Gympie Turf Club July 18 (Bm65)a 2450m benchmark 65 at Beaudesert, jumping at 15:38 on ground, rail true. 12 runners engaged.

At the trip

Beaudesert has staged 10 races at 2450m in our sample — indicative rather than conclusive.

  • Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 5 of 10 (50.0% win share); Middle (5–9) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.55 (3 from 38).
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 4 of 10 (40.0% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 8 of 10 (80.0% win share) — and beats its market price too (A/E 1.30).
  • Data note: settling position is unknown for 41 runners in this sample, which dilutes the pace numbers.

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions covers only 7 runnings — too small to lean on.

  • For the record: Pop ($2–5) accounted for 5 of the 7 winners (5 from 15 runners, A/E 1.20) in that limited data — colour, not signal; the overall numbers above carry more weight.

Jockeys & trainers

  • Jockey Jess Emmerson: 13 from 66 (19.7%) in the last 90 days (5 of those in the last 30) — rides #7 Sunny Disposition here.
  • Jockey Jag Guthmann-Chester: 6 from 34 (17.6%) in the last 30 days — rides #5 Scottish Pearl here.
  • Trainer Vishan Venkaya is 2 from 12 at today’s meeting profile (16.7% strike, A/E 1.53) and has #9 Papal Miss here.
  • Jockey Brandon Lerena is 5 from 25 at today’s meeting profile (20.0% strike, A/E 1.40) and has #2 Demarcay here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
2450m · 10 races (10 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)38550%13.2%0.96
Middle (5–9)38330%7.9%0.55
Wide (10+)16220%12.5%1.34

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)18440%22.2%1.12
On-pace (4–6)18220%11.1%0.86
Midfield (7–10)1400%0%0.00
Backmarkers (11+)100%0%0.00
Unknown41440%9.8%0.82

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)100%0%0.00
Pop ($2–5)22880%36.4%1.30
Mid ($5–10)26220%7.7%0.57
Roughie (>$10)4300%0%0.00