Murray Bridge GH R3

14:00Sportsbet Racing Form Hcp (56)
1600mRestricted 56Rail: +12m
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 6 July 14:09 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

Sportsbet Racing Form Hcp (56)a 1600m restricted 56 at Murray Bridge GH, jumping at 14:00 on ground, rail +12m. 10 runners engaged.

At the trip

Murray Bridge GH has staged 25 races at 1600m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 12 of 25 (48.0% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Pace: Settle position 4–6 wins the most races here — 9 of 25 (36.0% win share); the value band has been Settle position 11+ — A/E 1.75 (6 from 48).
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 14 of 25 (56.0% win share); Mid ($5–10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.53 (5 from 72).

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions (+12m ±1m) covers only 2 runnings — too small to lean on.

  • For the record: Settle position 11+ accounted for 2 of the 2 winners (2 from 3 runners, A/E 4.07) in that limited data — colour, not signal; the overall numbers above carry more weight.

Jockeys & trainers

  • Jockey Stacey Metcalfe is 3 from 31 at today’s meeting profile (9.7% strike, A/E 3.08) and has #11 Littlebitvexatious here.
  • Trainer Ms N Irwin is 3 from 22 at today’s meeting profile (13.6% strike, A/E 2.46) and has #11 Littlebitvexatious here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1600m · 25 races (25 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)941248%12.8%1.09
Middle (5–9)114728%6.1%0.61
Wide (10+)76624%7.9%0.77

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)75520%6.7%0.52
On-pace (4–6)72936%12.5%1.02
Midfield (7–10)88520%5.7%0.60
Backmarkers (11+)48624%12.5%1.75
Unknown100%0%0.00

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Pop ($2–5)531456%26.4%0.96
Mid ($5–10)72520%6.9%0.53
Roughie (>$10)159624%3.8%0.96