Murray Bridge GH R7

16:25Sportsbet Photo Finish Refund (Bm56)
900mBenchmark 56Rail: +12m
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 6 July 14:09 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

Sportsbet Photo Finish Refund (Bm56)a 900m benchmark 56 at Murray Bridge GH, jumping at 16:25 on ground, rail +12m. 16 runners engaged.

At the trip

Murray Bridge GH has staged 18 races at 900m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 9 of 18 (50.0% win share) — and beats its market price too (A/E 1.21).
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 12 of 18 (66.7% win share) — and beats its market price too (A/E 1.49).
  • Market: Mid ($5–10) wins the most races here — 7 of 18 (38.9% win share) — and beats its market price too (A/E 1.21).

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions (+12m ±1m) covers only 3 runnings — too small to lean on.

  • For the record: Inside (1–4) accounted for 3 of the 3 winners (3 from 12 runners, A/E 1.36) in that limited data — colour, not signal; the overall numbers above carry more weight.

Jockeys & trainers

  • Trainer Travis Doudle: 16 from 85 (18.8%) in the last 90 days (8 of those in the last 30) — saddles #5 Koratora here.
  • Jockey Stacey Metcalfe is 3 from 31 at today’s meeting profile (9.7% strike, A/E 3.08) and has #13 Bentley Brook here.
  • Jockey Lauren Stojakovic is 2 from 26 at today’s meeting profile (7.7% strike, A/E 1.71) and has #15 Avanzo here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
900m · 18 races (18 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)65950%13.8%1.21
Middle (5–9)85738.9%8.2%0.66
Wide (10+)46211.1%4.3%0.50

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)541266.7%22.2%1.49
On-pace (4–6)54316.7%5.6%0.45
Midfield (7–10)66316.7%4.5%0.55
Backmarkers (11+)2200%0%0.00

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)4316.7%75%1.36
Pop ($2–5)35633.3%17.1%0.65
Mid ($5–10)44738.9%15.9%1.21
Roughie (>$10)113211.1%1.8%0.42