MC Polytrack Mdn — a 1200m maiden at Belmont Park, jumping at 14:29 on — ground, rail +17m. 13 runners engaged.
At the trip
Belmont Park has staged 86 races at 1200m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.
- Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 44 of 86 (50.6% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
- Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 32 of 86 (36.8% win share); Settle position 11+ underperforms its market price — A/E 0.16 (1 from 111).
- Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 47 of 86 (54.0% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
Rail effect
Grouping similar rail positions (+17m ±1m) covers 9 runnings — indicative rather than conclusive.
- Barrier draw: read holds — Middle (5–9) again on top: A/E 1.01 (5 from 45).
- Pace: edge tilts to Settle position 1–3 — A/E 1.01 (3 from 27); overall it's Settle position 7–10.
- Market: edge tilts to Pop ($2–5) — A/E 1.39 (8 from 21); overall it's Odds-on (≤$2).
Jockeys & trainers
- Together, Jefferson Tsang × Sue Olive are 7 from 22 (31.8%) in the last 90 days — they combine with #11 Da Hinchi Belle here.
- Jockey William Pike: 57 from 209 (27.3%) in the last 90 days (19 of those in the last 30) — rides #12 Gentle Touch here.
- Jockey Clint Johnston-Porter: 9 from 43 (20.9%) in the last 30 days — rides #8 Triple Impact here.
- Trainer G & A Williams: 29 from 108 (26.9%) in the last 90 days (11 of those in the last 30) — saddles #6 Cryptomania here.
- Trainer Simon Miller: 5 from 20 (25.0%) in the last 30 days — saddles #12 Gentle Touch here.
- Jockey Holly Watson is 15 from 114 at today’s meeting profile (13.2% strike, A/E 1.39) and has #10 Elegant Rock here.