Belmont Park R6

17:28Wittens Irrigation & Design Hcp (C3)
1000mClass 3Rail: +17m
Races12345678

Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 7 July 14:08 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Wittens Irrigation & Design Hcp (C3)a 1000m class 3 at Belmont Park, jumping at 17:28 on ground, rail +17m. 10 runners engaged.

At the trip

Belmont Park has staged 74 races at 1000m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 40 of 74 (54.1% win share); Wide (10+) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.59 (2 from 46).
  • Pace: Settle position 4–6 wins the most races here — 34 of 74 (45.9% win share); Settle position 11+ underperforms its market price — A/E 0.00 (0 from 21).
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 38 of 74 (51.4% win share); Roughie (>$10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.51 (7 from 327).

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions (+17m ±1m) covers only 6 runnings — too small to lean on.

  • For the record: Pop ($2–5) accounted for 5 of the 6 winners (5 from 13 runners, A/E 1.17) in that limited data — colour, not signal; the overall numbers above carry more weight.

Jockeys & trainers

  • Together, Lucy F Fiore × G & A Williams are 6 from 21 (28.6%) in the last 90 days — they combine with #2 Silent Diva here.
  • Together, Holly Watson × Mitchell Pateman are 6 from 29 (20.7%) in the last 90 days — they combine with #6 Written Words here.
  • Jockey William Pike: 57 from 209 (27.3%) in the last 90 days (19 of those in the last 30) — rides #7 Cinque Stelle here.
  • Jockey Clint Johnston-Porter: 9 from 43 (20.9%) in the last 30 days — rides #4 Admire The Girl here.
  • Trainer J F Miller: 5 from 25 (20.0%) in the last 90 days — saddles #4 Admire The Girl here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1000m · 74 races (74 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)2964054.1%13.5%0.85
Middle (5–9)2993243.2%10.7%0.84
Wide (10+)4622.7%4.3%0.59

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)2222533.8%11.3%0.66
On-pace (4–6)2173445.9%15.7%1.01
Midfield (7–10)1801520.3%8.3%0.90
Backmarkers (11+)2100%0%0.00
Unknown100%0%

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)201317.6%65%1.09
Pop ($2–5)1373851.4%27.7%0.90
Mid ($5–10)1561621.6%10.3%0.76
Roughie (>$10)32779.5%2.1%0.51

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.