Drummond Golf (Rs0ly) — a 1200m rst 0 met win-ly at Belmont Park, jumping at 15:04 on — ground, rail +17m. 8 runners engaged.
At the trip
Belmont Park has staged 86 races at 1200m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.
- Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 44 of 86 (50.6% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
- Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 32 of 86 (36.8% win share); Settle position 11+ underperforms its market price — A/E 0.16 (1 from 111).
- Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 47 of 86 (54.0% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
Rail effect
Grouping similar rail positions (+17m ±1m) covers 9 runnings — indicative rather than conclusive.
- Barrier draw: read holds — Middle (5–9) again on top: A/E 1.01 (5 from 45).
- Pace: edge tilts to Settle position 1–3 — A/E 1.01 (3 from 27); overall it's Settle position 7–10.
- Market: edge tilts to Pop ($2–5) — A/E 1.39 (8 from 21); overall it's Odds-on (≤$2).
Jockeys & trainers
- Together, Lucy F Fiore × G & A Williams are 6 from 21 (28.6%) in the last 90 days — they combine with #6 Two Up Boom here.
- Together, Patrick Carbery × Mitchell Pateman are 5 from 19 (26.3%) in the last 90 days — they combine with #1 Brave Wasp here.
- Jockey William Pike: 57 from 209 (27.3%) in the last 90 days (19 of those in the last 30) — rides #5 Refemme No Angel here.
- Jockey Clint Johnston-Porter: 9 from 43 (20.9%) in the last 30 days — rides #7 Cosmic Treat here.
- Jockey Holly Watson is 15 from 114 at today’s meeting profile (13.2% strike, A/E 1.39) and has #9 Superb Vintage here.