Canberra Acton R2

13:11Tooheys Mdn Hcp
1080mMaidenRail: True
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 7 July 14:08 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Tooheys Mdn Hcpa 1080m maiden at Canberra Acton, jumping at 13:11 on ground, rail true. 9 runners engaged.

At the trip

Canberra Acton has staged 23 races at 1080m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 12 of 23 (52.2% win share); Wide (10+) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.47 (1 from 27).
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 14 of 23 (60.9% win share); Settle position 7–10 underperforms its market price — A/E 0.42 (2 from 62).
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 12 of 23 (52.2% win share); Roughie (>$10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.41 (2 from 109).

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions covers 23 runnings — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: read holds — Inside (1–4) again on top: A/E 0.94 (12 from 83).
  • Pace: read holds — Settle position 1–3 again on top: A/E 1.14 (14 from 63).
  • Market: read holds — Mid ($5–10) again on top: A/E 1.11 (7 from 47).

Jockeys & trainers

  • Together, Damon Budler × Natalie Jarvis are 5 from 13 (38.5%) in the last 90 days — they combine with #4 Jenni Moo Moo here.
  • Jockey Pierre Boudvillain: 11 from 60 (18.3%) in the last 30 days — rides #6 Oracle Of Omaha here.
  • Trainer Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter: 19 from 102 (18.6%) in the last 90 days — saddles #1 Bumbling Artie here.
  • Jockey Shaun Guymer is 6 from 28 at today’s meeting profile (21.4% strike, A/E 1.85) and has #2 Xtrascent here.
  • Jockey Sairyn Fawke is 2 from 18 at today’s meeting profile (11.1% strike, A/E 1.47) and has #5 Kip Star here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1080m · 23 races (23 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)831252.2%14.5%0.94
Middle (5–9)1001043.5%10%0.79
Wide (10+)2714.3%3.7%0.47

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)631460.9%22.2%1.14
On-pace (4–6)63521.7%7.9%0.62
Midfield (7–10)6228.7%3.2%0.42
Backmarkers (11+)600%0%0.00
Unknown1628.7%12.5%0.94

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)528.7%40%0.70
Pop ($2–5)491252.2%24.5%0.88
Mid ($5–10)47730.4%14.9%1.11
Roughie (>$10)10928.7%1.8%0.41

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.