Canberra Acton R6

15:31TAB Federal
1206mOpenRail: True
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 7 July 14:08 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

TAB Federala 1206m open at Canberra Acton, jumping at 15:31 on ground, rail true. 9 runners engaged.

At the trip

Canberra Acton has staged 14 races at 1206m in our sample — indicative rather than conclusive.

  • Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 9 of 14 (64.3% win share) — and beats its market price too (A/E 1.20).
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 and Settle position 4–6 win the most races here — 5 of 14 each (35.7% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Market: Mid ($5–10) wins the most races here — 7 of 14 (50.0% win share) — and beats its market price too (A/E 1.36).

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions covers 14 runnings — indicative rather than conclusive.

  • Barrier draw: read holds — Inside (1–4) again on top: A/E 1.20 (9 from 50).
  • Pace: read holds — Settle position 4–6 again on top: A/E 1.16 (5 from 39).
  • Market: read holds — Mid ($5–10) again on top: A/E 1.36 (7 from 40).

Jockeys & trainers

  • Jockey Brodie Loy: 22 from 109 (20.2%) in the last 90 days (9 of those in the last 30) — rides #3 Craving Magic here.
  • Jockey Damon Budler: 15 from 82 (18.3%) in the last 90 days — rides #4 Ravalli here.
  • Jockey Shaun Guymer is 6 from 28 at today’s meeting profile (21.4% strike, A/E 1.85) and has #5 Atmospheric Rock here.
  • Jockey Mathew Cahill is 2 from 10 at today’s meeting profile (20.0% strike, A/E 1.71) and has #2 Sutton Vella here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1206m · 14 races (14 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)50964.3%18%1.20
Middle (5–9)59535.7%8.5%0.70
Wide (10+)3900%0%0.00

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)39535.7%12.8%0.75
On-pace (4–6)39535.7%12.8%1.16
Midfield (7–10)45321.4%6.7%0.78
Backmarkers (11+)1500%0%0.00
Unknown1017.1%10%0.83

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)217.1%50%0.90
Pop ($2–5)28321.4%10.7%0.41
Mid ($5–10)40750%17.5%1.36
Roughie (>$10)78321.4%3.8%0.87

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.