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← Canberra ActonWednesday 8 July 2026

Canberra Acton R4

14:21Riverview Projects Mdn Plate
1280mMaidenRail: True
StatisticsRace Analysis
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 7 July 14:08 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Riverview Projects Mdn Plate — a 1280m maiden at Canberra Acton, jumping at 14:21 on — ground, rail true. 13 runners engaged.

At the trip

Canberra Acton has staged 23 races at 1280m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 12 of 23 (52.2% win share); Middle (5–9) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.46 (6 from 98).
  • Pace: Settle position 4–6 wins the most races here — 7 of 23 (30.4% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 11 of 23 (47.8% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Data note: settling position is unknown for 64 runners in this sample, which dilutes the pace numbers.

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions covers 23 runnings — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: read holds — Inside (1–4) again on top: A/E 1.18 (12 from 85).
  • Pace: read holds — Settle position 4–6 again on top: A/E 1.10 (7 from 51).
  • Market: read holds — Mid ($5–10) again on top: A/E 0.92 (6 from 50).

Jockeys & trainers

  • Jockey Brodie Loy: 22 from 109 (20.2%) in the last 90 days (9 of those in the last 30) — rides #7 Texan Star here.
  • Jockey Pierre Boudvillain: 11 from 60 (18.3%) in the last 30 days — rides #8 Torpedo Ted here.
  • Jockey Shaun Guymer is 6 from 28 at today’s meeting profile (21.4% strike, A/E 1.85) and has #12 Monnie here.
  • Jockey Sairyn Fawke is 2 from 18 at today’s meeting profile (11.1% strike, A/E 1.47) and has #4 Skibidi here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1280m · 23 races (23 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)851252.2%14.1%1.18
Middle (5–9)98626.1%6.1%0.46
Wide (10+)49521.7%10.2%1.05

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)51626.1%11.8%0.66
On-pace (4–6)51730.4%13.7%1.10
Midfield (7–10)57417.4%7%0.80
Backmarkers (11+)900%0%0.00
Unknown64626.1%9.4%0.82

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)628.7%33.3%0.55
Pop ($2–5)431147.8%25.6%0.86
Mid ($5–10)50626.1%12%0.92
Roughie (>$10)133417.4%3%0.78

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.