Canberra Acton R7

16:06Hops & Hooves Festival 26 September (Bm65)
1750mBenchmark 65Rail: True
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 7 July 14:08 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Hops & Hooves Festival 26 September (Bm65)a 1750m benchmark 65 at Canberra Acton, jumping at 16:06 on ground, rail true. 12 runners engaged.

At the trip

Canberra Acton has staged 10 races at 1750m in our sample — indicative rather than conclusive.

  • Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 5 of 10 (50.0% win share); Wide (10+) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.38 (1 from 21).
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 5 of 10 (50.0% win share) — and beats its market price too (A/E 1.70).
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 6 of 10 (60.0% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions covers 10 runnings — indicative rather than conclusive.

  • Barrier draw: read holds — Inside (1–4) again on top: A/E 1.06 (5 from 36).
  • Pace: edge tilts to Settle position 11+ — A/E 2.05 (1 from 6); overall it's Settle position 1–3.
  • Market: read holds — Roughie (>$10) again on top: A/E 0.89 (2 from 55).

Jockeys & trainers

  • Together, Damon Budler × Natalie Jarvis are 5 from 13 (38.5%) in the last 90 days — they combine with #8 Sunburnt Country here.
  • Jockey Brodie Loy: 22 from 109 (20.2%) in the last 90 days (9 of those in the last 30) — rides #5 Taytay Bay here.
  • Jockey Pierre Boudvillain: 11 from 60 (18.3%) in the last 30 days — rides #3 Bombelleistic here.
  • Jockey Shaun Guymer is 6 from 28 at today’s meeting profile (21.4% strike, A/E 1.85) and has #7 Col Du Tourmalet here.
  • Jockey Sairyn Fawke is 2 from 18 at today’s meeting profile (11.1% strike, A/E 1.47) and has #4 That A Boy here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1750m · 10 races (10 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)36550%13.9%1.06
Middle (5–9)44440%9.1%0.82
Wide (10+)21110%4.8%0.38

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)27550%18.5%1.70
On-pace (4–6)27220%7.4%0.57
Midfield (7–10)31110%3.2%0.25
Backmarkers (11+)6110%16.7%2.05
Unknown10110%10%0.82

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Pop ($2–5)26660%23.1%0.82
Mid ($5–10)20220%10%0.76
Roughie (>$10)55220%3.6%0.89

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.