Morphettville R4

14:25Winning Edge Presentations Plate (C1)

2028mClass 1Rail: +6m

Races1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8Track

Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 7 July 14:08 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Winning Edge Presentations Plate (C1) — a 2028m class 1 at Morphettville, jumping at 14:25 on — ground, rail +6m. 14 runners engaged.

At the trip

Morphettville has staged 10 races at 2028m in our sample — indicative rather than conclusive.

Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 5 of 10 (50.0% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
Pace: Settle position 4–6 wins the most races here — 5 of 10 (50.0% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
Market: Pop ($2–5) and Roughie (>$10) win the most races here — 4 of 10 each (40.0% win share); the value band has been Roughie (>$10) — A/E 1.77 (4 from 52).

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions (+6m ±1m) covers only 3 runnings — too small to lean on.

For the record: Middle (5–9) accounted for 3 of the 3 winners (3 from 12 runners, A/E 1.98) in that limited data — colour, not signal; the overall numbers above carry more weight.

Jockeys & trainers

Trainer Travis Doudle: 16 from 90 (17.8%) in the last 90 days (7 of those in the last 30) — saddles #1 Empirestateofmind here.
Jockey Dylan Caboche is 2 from 19 at today’s meeting profile (10.5% strike, A/E 5.00) and has #4 Master Of Ceremony here.
Jockey Brooke King is 7 from 72 at today’s meeting profile (9.7% strike, A/E 1.22) and has #8 Dexter Dream here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance

2028m · 10 races (10 winners)

Barrier draw

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Inside (1–4)	34	4	40%	11.8%	0.83
Middle (5–9)	42	5	50%	11.9%	0.95
Wide (10+)	17	1	10%	5.9%	0.51

Settling position

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Leaders (1–3)	30	3	30%	10%	0.72
On-pace (4–6)	30	5	50%	16.7%	1.05
Midfield (7–10)	25	2	20%	8%	0.77
Backmarkers (11+)	8	0	0%	0%	0.00

Market (SP)

	Runs	Wins	% Win	SR	A/E
Odds-on (≤$2)	3	2	20%	66.7%	1.12
Pop ($2–5)	16	4	40%	25%	0.81
Mid ($5–10)	22	0	0%	0%	0.00
Roughie (>$10)	52	4	40%	7.7%	1.77

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.