HoofMetricsdata · model · edge
← MorphettvilleWednesday 8 July 2026

Morphettville R6

15:35Sportsbet Same Race Multi (Bm56)
1050mBenchmark 56Rail: +6m
StatisticsRace Analysis
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 7 July 14:08 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Sportsbet Same Race Multi (Bm56) — a 1050m benchmark 56 at Morphettville, jumping at 15:35 on — ground, rail +6m. 14 runners engaged.

At the trip

Morphettville has staged 50 races at 1050m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 24 of 50 (47.1% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Pace: Settle position 4–6 wins the most races here — 23 of 50 (45.1% win share); Settle position 7–10 underperforms its market price — A/E 0.51 (7 from 155).
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 25 of 50 (49.0% win share); Mid ($5–10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.38 (5 from 101).

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions (+6m ±1m) covers 15 runnings — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: read holds — Wide (10+) again on top: A/E 1.91 (6 from 33).
  • Pace: edge tilts to Settle position 11+ — A/E 3.05 (3 from 16); overall it's Settle position 4–6.
  • Market: edge tilts to Odds-on (≤$2) — A/E 1.35 (4 from 5); overall it's Roughie (>$10).

Jockeys & trainers

  • Trainer Ms N Irwin is 2 from 23 at today’s meeting profile (8.7% strike, A/E 1.30) and has #6 Redwinelover here.
  • Jockey Brooke King is 7 from 72 at today’s meeting profile (9.7% strike, A/E 1.22) and has #7 Mine All Mine here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1050m · 50 races (51 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)1902447.1%12.6%0.89
Middle (5–9)2091631.4%7.7%0.67
Wide (10+)1101121.6%10%1.13

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)1501733.3%11.3%0.74
On-pace (4–6)1472345.1%15.6%1.15
Midfield (7–10)155713.7%4.5%0.51
Backmarkers (11+)5747.8%7%1.09

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)10611.8%60%0.99
Pop ($2–5)952549%26.3%0.91
Mid ($5–10)10159.8%5%0.38
Roughie (>$10)3031529.4%5%1.12

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.