Cambridge Synthetic R2

10:07Remembering Ngakau Hailey (Bm80)
1300mBenchmark 80Rail: True
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 8 July 14:09 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Remembering Ngakau Hailey (Bm80)a 1300m benchmark 80 at Cambridge Synthetic, jumping at 10:07 on ground, rail true. 11 runners engaged.

At the trip

Cambridge Synthetic has staged 32 races at 1300m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 18 of 32 (56.2% win share); Inside (1–4) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.60 (11 from 119).
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 5 of 32 (15.6% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 14 of 32 (43.8% win share); Roughie (>$10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.53 (4 from 156).
  • Data note: settling position is unknown for 181 runners in this sample, which dilutes the pace numbers.

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions covers 32 runnings — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: read holds — Middle (5–9) again on top: A/E 1.15 (18 from 132).
  • Pace: read holds — Settle position 7–10 again on top: A/E 1.15 (4 from 33).
  • Market: read holds — Mid ($5–10) again on top: A/E 1.14 (11 from 68).

Jockeys & trainers

  • Jockey George Rooke: 10 from 65 (15.4%) in the last 30 days — rides #4 Halo's Fire here.
  • Trainer Debbie Sweeney: 8 from 29 (27.6%) in the last 90 days — saddles #7 Bonnie Gem here.
  • Trainer G J Old is 4 from 13 at today’s meeting profile (30.8% strike, A/E 2.26) and has #2 Anton here.
  • Trainer M A Treweek is 4 from 10 at today’s meeting profile (40.0% strike, A/E 1.79) and has #1 Lhasa here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1300m · 32 races (32 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)1191134.4%9.2%0.60
Middle (5–9)1321856.2%13.6%1.15
Wide (10+)4339.4%7%0.70

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)39515.6%12.8%0.77
On-pace (4–6)38412.5%10.5%0.75
Midfield (7–10)33412.5%12.1%1.15
Backmarkers (11+)300%0%0.00
Unknown1811959.4%10.5%0.84

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)439.4%75%1.20
Pop ($2–5)661443.8%21.2%0.75
Mid ($5–10)681134.4%16.2%1.14
Roughie (>$10)156412.5%2.6%0.53

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.