Cambridge Synthetic R5

11:52Waikato Stud Foxbridge Plate 22 August @ Te Rapa Mdn
2000mMaidenRail: True
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 8 July 14:09 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Waikato Stud Foxbridge Plate 22 August @ Te Rapa Mdna 2000m maiden at Cambridge Synthetic, jumping at 11:52 on ground, rail true. 8 runners engaged.

At the trip

Cambridge Synthetic has staged 26 races at 2000m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 11 of 26 (42.3% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 and Settle position 7–10 win the most races here — 5 of 26 each (19.2% win share); Settle position 4–6 underperforms its market price — A/E 0.25 (1 from 33).
  • Market: Mid ($5–10) wins the most races here — 13 of 26 (50.0% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Data note: settling position is unknown for 145 runners in this sample, which dilutes the pace numbers.

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions covers 26 runnings — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: read holds — Wide (10+) again on top: A/E 1.09 (5 from 42).
  • Pace: read holds — Settle position 7–10 again on top: A/E 1.19 (5 from 35).
  • Market: read holds — Mid ($5–10) again on top: A/E 1.08 (13 from 87).

Jockeys & trainers

  • Jockey Craig Grylls: 24 from 119 (20.2%) in the last 90 days — rides #6 Rippin Along here.
  • Jockey George Rooke: 10 from 65 (15.4%) in the last 30 days — rides #5 Irish Flute here.
  • Trainer A W Pike: 5 from 26 (19.2%) in the last 30 days — saddles #5 Irish Flute here.
  • Jockey Hayley Hassman is 8 from 24 at today’s meeting profile (33.3% strike, A/E 2.39) and has #3 Laser Beam here.
  • Jockey Joe Nishizuka is 2 from 10 at today’s meeting profile (20.0% strike, A/E 1.39) and has #7 Effie Goodacre here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
2000m · 26 races (26 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)931038.5%10.8%0.82
Middle (5–9)1151142.3%9.6%0.76
Wide (10+)42519.2%11.9%1.09

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)33519.2%15.2%1.04
On-pace (4–6)3313.8%3%0.25
Midfield (7–10)35519.2%14.3%1.19
Backmarkers (11+)400%0%0.00
Unknown1451557.7%10.3%0.84

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)313.8%33.3%0.58
Pop ($2–5)37726.9%18.9%0.66
Mid ($5–10)871350%14.9%1.08
Roughie (>$10)123519.2%4.1%0.73

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.