Cambridge Synthetic R3

10:42TAB Mdn
970mMaidenRail: True
Races123456789

Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 8 July 14:09 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

TAB Mdna 970m maiden at Cambridge Synthetic, jumping at 10:42 on ground, rail true. 9 runners engaged.

At the trip

Cambridge Synthetic has staged 26 races at 970m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 14 of 26 (53.8% win share); the value band has been Wide (10+) — A/E 1.94 (4 from 28).
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 7 of 26 (26.9% win share); Settle position 7–10 underperforms its market price — A/E 0.00 (0 from 31).
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 13 of 26 (50.0% win share); Roughie (>$10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.50 (3 from 119).
  • Data note: settling position is unknown for 123 runners in this sample, which dilutes the pace numbers.

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions covers 26 runnings — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: read holds — Wide (10+) again on top: A/E 1.94 (4 from 28).
  • Pace: read holds — Settle position 4–6 again on top: A/E 1.07 (5 from 37).
  • Market: read holds — Pop ($2–5) again on top: A/E 1.04 (13 from 40).

Jockeys & trainers

  • Jockey Craig Grylls: 24 from 119 (20.2%) in the last 90 days — rides #7 Heloisa here.
  • Trainer C J Wood: 8 from 43 (18.6%) in the last 90 days — saddles #4 Wise Choice, #6 Edge Of Glory here.
  • Jockey Jasmine Fawcett is 3 from 12 at today’s meeting profile (25.0% strike, A/E 1.38) and has #3 Fat Albert here.
  • Jockey Samantha Collett is 6 from 37 at today’s meeting profile (16.2% strike, A/E 1.27) and has #9 Lit Show here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
970m · 26 races (26 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)99830.8%8.1%0.50
Middle (5–9)1001453.8%14%1.06
Wide (10+)28415.4%14.3%1.94

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)36726.9%19.4%1.00
On-pace (4–6)37519.2%13.5%1.07
Midfield (7–10)3100%0%0.00
Unknown1231453.8%11.4%0.83

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)627.7%33.3%0.50
Pop ($2–5)401350%32.5%1.04
Mid ($5–10)62830.8%12.9%0.91
Roughie (>$10)119311.5%2.5%0.50

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.