Cambridge Synthetic R9

14:21Happy Birthday Derek Collett Hcp (61)
1550mRestricted 61Rail: True
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 8 July 14:09 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Happy Birthday Derek Collett Hcp (61)a 1550m restricted 61 at Cambridge Synthetic, jumping at 14:21 on ground, rail true. 12 runners engaged.

At the trip

Cambridge Synthetic has staged 28 races at 1550m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 14 of 28 (50.0% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Pace: Settle position 4–6 wins the most races here — 5 of 28 (17.9% win share); Settle position 1–3 underperforms its market price — A/E 0.55 (3 from 33).
  • Market: Mid ($5–10) and Roughie (>$10) win the most races here — 9 of 28 each (32.1% win share); the value band has been Roughie (>$10) — A/E 1.25 (9 from 157).
  • Data note: settling position is unknown for 176 runners in this sample, which dilutes the pace numbers.

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions covers 28 runnings — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: read holds — Middle (5–9) again on top: A/E 0.94 (14 from 121).
  • Pace: read holds — Settle position 4–6 again on top: A/E 1.17 (5 from 33).
  • Market: read holds — Roughie (>$10) again on top: A/E 1.25 (9 from 157).

Jockeys & trainers

  • Jockey Craig Grylls: 24 from 119 (20.2%) in the last 90 days — rides #8 Gina Rosa here.
  • Jockey George Rooke: 10 from 65 (15.4%) in the last 30 days — rides #3 Mister Meaner here.
  • Trainer C J Wood: 8 from 43 (18.6%) in the last 90 days — saddles #1 Bertie Wooster here.
  • Trainer Ms M Falconer is 2 from 10 at today’s meeting profile (20.0% strike, A/E 3.71) and has #8 Gina Rosa, #9 La Querida here.
  • Jockey Hayley Hassman is 8 from 24 at today’s meeting profile (33.3% strike, A/E 2.39) and has #11 Blusweyhooves here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1550m · 28 races (28 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)1061035.7%9.4%0.75
Middle (5–9)1211450%11.6%0.94
Wide (10+)56414.3%7.1%0.78

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)33310.7%9.1%0.55
On-pace (4–6)33517.9%15.2%1.17
Midfield (7–10)33310.7%9.1%0.99
Backmarkers (11+)800%0%0.00
Unknown1761760.7%9.7%0.84

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)5310.7%60%1.16
Pop ($2–5)43725%16.3%0.56
Mid ($5–10)78932.1%11.5%0.80
Roughie (>$10)157932.1%5.7%1.25

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.