Cambridge Synthetic R7

13:09Cambridge Equine Hospital Mdn
1550mMaidenRail: True
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Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 8 July 14:09 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Cambridge Equine Hospital Mdna 1550m maiden at Cambridge Synthetic, jumping at 13:09 on ground, rail true. 13 runners engaged.

At the trip

Cambridge Synthetic has staged 28 races at 1550m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 14 of 28 (50.0% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Pace: Settle position 4–6 wins the most races here — 5 of 28 (17.9% win share); Settle position 1–3 underperforms its market price — A/E 0.55 (3 from 33).
  • Market: Mid ($5–10) and Roughie (>$10) win the most races here — 9 of 28 each (32.1% win share); the value band has been Roughie (>$10) — A/E 1.25 (9 from 157).
  • Data note: settling position is unknown for 176 runners in this sample, which dilutes the pace numbers.

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions covers 28 runnings — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: read holds — Middle (5–9) again on top: A/E 0.94 (14 from 121).
  • Pace: read holds — Settle position 4–6 again on top: A/E 1.17 (5 from 33).
  • Market: read holds — Roughie (>$10) again on top: A/E 1.25 (9 from 157).

Jockeys & trainers

  • Jockey Craig Grylls: 24 from 119 (20.2%) in the last 90 days — rides #4 Suena En Grande here.
  • Jockey Michael Mc Nab: 26 from 139 (18.7%) in the last 90 days — rides #8 Loopy Farooki here.
  • Trainer Andrew Forsman: 6 from 30 (20.0%) in the last 30 days — saddles #6 Pine Leaf here.
  • Trainer Ms M Falconer is 2 from 10 at today’s meeting profile (20.0% strike, A/E 3.71) and has #11 Hershey here.
  • Jockey Hayley Hassman is 8 from 24 at today’s meeting profile (33.3% strike, A/E 2.39) and has #5 Madame Kleptomane here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1550m · 28 races (28 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)1061035.7%9.4%0.75
Middle (5–9)1211450%11.6%0.94
Wide (10+)56414.3%7.1%0.78

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)33310.7%9.1%0.55
On-pace (4–6)33517.9%15.2%1.17
Midfield (7–10)33310.7%9.1%0.99
Backmarkers (11+)800%0%0.00
Unknown1761760.7%9.7%0.84

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)5310.7%60%1.16
Pop ($2–5)43725%16.3%0.56
Mid ($5–10)78932.1%11.5%0.80
Roughie (>$10)157932.1%5.7%1.25

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.