Gosford R1

12:55Eagles Plumbing Plus Super Mdn Plate
1600mMaidenRail: +4m
Races1234567

Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 8 July 14:09 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Eagles Plumbing Plus Super Mdn Platea 1600m maiden at Gosford, jumping at 12:55 on ground, rail +4m. 8 runners engaged.

At the trip

Gosford has staged 41 races at 1600m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 20 of 41 (48.8% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Pace: Settle position 4–6 wins the most races here — 18 of 41 (43.9% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 27 of 41 (65.9% win share); Mid ($5–10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.56 (6 from 76).

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions (+4m ±1m) covers only 3 runnings — too small to lean on.

  • For the record: Pop ($2–5) accounted for 3 of the 3 winners (3 from 6 runners, A/E 1.74) in that limited data — colour, not signal; the overall numbers above carry more weight.

Jockeys & trainers

  • Together, Jean Van Overmeire × Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter are 6 from 20 (30.0%) in the last 90 days — they combine with #4 Rouladen here.
  • Trainer G Waterhouse & A Bott: 31 from 203 (15.3%) in the last 90 days (9 of those in the last 30) — saddles #1 Audaciously Frank here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1600m · 41 races (41 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)1602048.8%12.5%0.74
Middle (5–9)1421843.9%12.7%0.91
Wide (10+)1837.3%16.7%1.68

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)1171639%13.7%0.79
On-pace (4–6)1161843.9%15.5%0.98
Midfield (7–10)63512.2%7.9%0.66
Backmarkers (11+)300%0%0.00
Unknown2124.9%9.5%0.83

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)824.9%25%0.42
Pop ($2–5)912765.9%29.7%1.01
Mid ($5–10)76614.6%7.9%0.56
Roughie (>$10)145614.6%4.1%0.92

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.