The Settlers Tavern Mdn Plate — a 1100m maiden at Gosford, jumping at 15:20 on — ground, rail +4m. 12 runners engaged.
At the trip
Gosford has staged 33 races at 1100m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.
- Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 18 of 33 (54.5% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
- Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 21 of 33 (63.6% win share); Settle position 7–10 underperforms its market price — A/E 0.34 (2 from 64).
- Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 19 of 33 (57.6% win share); Roughie (>$10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.36 (2 from 126).
Rail effect
Grouping similar rail positions (+4m ±1m) covers only 1 runnings — too small to lean on.
- For the record: nothing in that limited data stands out; the overall numbers above carry the read.
Jockeys & trainers
- Together, Siena Grima × C J Waller are 16 from 76 (21.1%) in the last 90 days (9 of those in the last 30) — they combine with #1 Ancestral here.
- Together, Tyler Schiller × C J Waller are 6 from 32 (18.8%) in the last 90 days — they combine with #8 Wiltshire Lass here.
- Jockey Keagan Latham: 23 from 134 (17.2%) in the last 90 days (9 of those in the last 30) — rides #9 Written Redemption here.
- Trainer Michael Freedman: 24 from 144 (16.7%) in the last 90 days (9 of those in the last 30) — saddles #11 Stay Spending here.
- Trainer G Ryan & S Alexiou: 6 from 36 (16.7%) in the last 30 days — saddles #7 Rising Revolution, #13 Ask Di here.
- Jockey Sam Clipperton is 3 from 10 at today’s meeting profile (30.0% strike, A/E 1.47) and has #7 Rising Revolution here.