HoofMetricsdata · model · edge
← GosfordThursday 9 July 2026

Gosford R7

16:35Neville Glover-Parramatta Leagues Club Midway Hcp (C1)
1200mClass 1Rail: +4m
StatisticsRace Analysis
Races1234567

Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 8 July 14:09 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Neville Glover-Parramatta Leagues Club Midway Hcp (C1) — a 1200m class 1 at Gosford, jumping at 16:35 on — ground, rail +4m. 8 runners engaged.

At the trip

Gosford has staged 62 races at 1200m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 36 of 62 (57.1% win share); Wide (10+) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.48 (2 from 46).
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 29 of 62 (46.0% win share); Settle position 7–10 underperforms its market price — A/E 0.60 (6 from 122).
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 24 of 62 (38.1% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions (+4m ±1m) covers only 5 runnings — too small to lean on.

  • For the record: Mid ($5–10) accounted for 3 of the 5 winners (3 from 9 runners, A/E 2.56) in that limited data — colour, not signal; the overall numbers above carry more weight.

Jockeys & trainers

  • Trainer Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter: 20 from 107 (18.7%) in the last 90 days — saddles #2 Rose Of Fenway here.
  • Trainer Nathan Doyle: 15 from 99 (15.2%) in the last 90 days — saddles #1 Iron Fury here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1200m · 62 races (63 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)2412539.7%10.4%0.72
Middle (5–9)2363657.1%15.3%1.00
Wide (10+)4623.2%4.3%0.48

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)1742946%16.7%0.83
On-pace (4–6)1722438.1%14%1.02
Midfield (7–10)12269.5%4.9%0.60
Backmarkers (11+)1900%0%0.00
Unknown3646.3%11.1%0.76

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)211320.6%61.9%0.96
Pop ($2–5)1152438.1%20.9%0.72
Mid ($5–10)1301727%13.1%1.00
Roughie (>$10)257914.3%3.5%0.82

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.