Brisbane Waters Glass (Bm64) — a 1100m benchmark 64 at Gosford, jumping at 14:10 on — ground, rail +4m. 7 runners engaged.
At the trip
Gosford has staged 33 races at 1100m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.
- Barrier draw: Inside (1–4) wins the most races here — 18 of 33 (54.5% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
- Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 21 of 33 (63.6% win share); Settle position 7–10 underperforms its market price — A/E 0.34 (2 from 64).
- Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 19 of 33 (57.6% win share); Roughie (>$10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.36 (2 from 126).
Rail effect
Grouping similar rail positions (+4m ±1m) covers only 1 runnings — too small to lean on.
- For the record: nothing in that limited data stands out; the overall numbers above carry the read.
Jockeys & trainers
- Trainer Mitchell Beer & George Carpenter: 20 from 107 (18.7%) in the last 90 days — saddles #3 Denial here.