Sale R1

13:00Ladbrokes Hosted Pots Mdn Plate
1213mMaidenRail: Out 8m Entire Circuit
Races12345678

Early previewTomorrow's fields, barriers and stats, published 8 July 14:09 AEST. Final scratchings, going, model picks and race commentary land race morning (~10am AEST) — runners shown here may scratch before racing.

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.

Ladbrokes Hosted Pots Mdn Platea 1213m maiden at Sale, jumping at 13:00 on ground, rail out 8m entire circuit. 14 runners engaged.

At the trip

Sale has staged 29 races at 1213m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.

  • Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 15 of 29 (51.7% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
  • Pace: Settle position 1–3 wins the most races here — 20 of 29 (69.0% win share) — and beats its market price too (A/E 1.22).
  • Market: Pop ($2–5) wins the most races here — 13 of 29 (44.8% win share); Roughie (>$10) underperforms its market price — A/E 0.58 (3 from 127).

Rail effect

Grouping similar rail positions (+8m ±1m) covers only 6 runnings — too small to lean on.

  • For the record: Settle position 1–3 accounted for 5 of the 6 winners (5 from 18 runners, A/E 1.19) in that limited data — colour, not signal; the overall numbers above carry more weight.

Jockeys & trainers

  • Jockey Jackson Radley: 10 from 53 (18.9%) in the last 30 days — rides #10 Lady Puissance here.
  • Trainer G Eurell: 9 from 34 (26.5%) in the last 30 days — saddles #5 Vella Longa here.
  • Trainer C J Waller is 6 from 22 at today’s meeting profile (27.3% strike, A/E 1.31) and has #4 Kosei Top, #6 Zouvolt, #8 Bybrook, #9 Contarini, #14 Exploit here.
  • Jockey Damien Thornton is 3 from 18 at today’s meeting profile (16.7% strike, A/E 1.28) and has #13 Baby Blue here.

A/E compares actual winners with market-expected winners — above 1.00 means that group has outperformed its market price historically. Settling positions we can’t determine are shown as “Unknown” in the tables below but are excluded from this read. Full tables below.

Distance stats

Distance
1213m · 29 races (29 winners)

Barrier draw

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Inside (1–4)1121137.9%9.8%0.72
Middle (5–9)1161551.7%12.9%0.91
Wide (10+)27310.3%11.1%0.89

Settling position

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Leaders (1–3)842069%23.8%1.22
On-pace (4–6)8426.9%2.4%0.19
Midfield (7–10)67517.2%7.5%0.78
Backmarkers (11+)613.4%16.7%2.88
Unknown1413.4%7.1%0.82

Market (SP)

RunsWins% WinSRA/E
Odds-on (≤$2)8620.7%75%1.16
Pop ($2–5)541344.8%24.1%0.82
Mid ($5–10)66724.1%10.6%0.78
Roughie (>$10)127310.3%2.4%0.58

For model selections and full runner analysis, go to the Race Analysis page.