Ladbrokes Popular SRM Mdn Plate — a 1746m maiden at Sale, jumping at 14:30 on — ground, rail out 8m entire circuit. 12 runners engaged.
At the trip
Sale has staged 17 races at 1746m in our sample — a sample worth weighting.
- Barrier draw: Middle (5–9) wins the most races here — 8 of 17 (47.1% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
- Pace: Settle position 4–6 wins the most races here — 7 of 17 (41.2% win share); Settle position 7–10 underperforms its market price — A/E 0.55 (3 from 52).
- Market: Pop ($2–5) and Mid ($5–10) win the most races here — 6 of 17 each (35.3% win share); no band meaningfully beats its market price.
Rail effect
Grouping similar rail positions (+8m ±1m) covers only 6 runnings — too small to lean on.
- For the record: Middle (5–9) accounted for 5 of the 6 winners (5 from 28 runners, A/E 1.29) in that limited data — colour, not signal; the overall numbers above carry more weight.
Jockeys & trainers
- Trainer A & J Williams: 5 from 17 (29.4%) in the last 90 days — saddles #2 Father Mckenzie here.
- Trainer G Waterhouse & A Bott: 31 from 203 (15.3%) in the last 90 days (9 of those in the last 30) — saddles #3 Knights Emperor here.
- Jockey Adam Mc Cabe is 2 from 21 at today’s meeting profile (9.5% strike, A/E 1.84) and has #11 Ask The Captain here.
- Trainer M C Kent is 5 from 13 at today’s meeting profile (38.5% strike, A/E 1.53) and has #6 Polar Perspective here.